Stock Analysis

Wuchan Zhongda GroupLtd (SHSE:600704) Seems To Be Using A Lot Of Debt

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SHSE:600704

David Iben put it well when he said, 'Volatility is not a risk we care about. What we care about is avoiding the permanent loss of capital.' When we think about how risky a company is, we always like to look at its use of debt, since debt overload can lead to ruin. As with many other companies Wuchan Zhongda Group Co.,Ltd. (SHSE:600704) makes use of debt. But should shareholders be worried about its use of debt?

When Is Debt A Problem?

Debt and other liabilities become risky for a business when it cannot easily fulfill those obligations, either with free cash flow or by raising capital at an attractive price. Part and parcel of capitalism is the process of 'creative destruction' where failed businesses are mercilessly liquidated by their bankers. While that is not too common, we often do see indebted companies permanently diluting shareholders because lenders force them to raise capital at a distressed price. Of course, the upside of debt is that it often represents cheap capital, especially when it replaces dilution in a company with the ability to reinvest at high rates of return. The first thing to do when considering how much debt a business uses is to look at its cash and debt together.

View our latest analysis for Wuchan Zhongda GroupLtd

What Is Wuchan Zhongda GroupLtd's Debt?

As you can see below, Wuchan Zhongda GroupLtd had CN¥46.4b of debt, at September 2024, which is about the same as the year before. You can click the chart for greater detail. However, it also had CN¥31.8b in cash, and so its net debt is CN¥14.6b.

SHSE:600704 Debt to Equity History January 10th 2025

How Strong Is Wuchan Zhongda GroupLtd's Balance Sheet?

Zooming in on the latest balance sheet data, we can see that Wuchan Zhongda GroupLtd had liabilities of CN¥135.8b due within 12 months and liabilities of CN¥12.9b due beyond that. On the other hand, it had cash of CN¥31.8b and CN¥23.1b worth of receivables due within a year. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by CN¥93.9b.

This deficit casts a shadow over the CN¥23.9b company, like a colossus towering over mere mortals. So we'd watch its balance sheet closely, without a doubt. After all, Wuchan Zhongda GroupLtd would likely require a major re-capitalisation if it had to pay its creditors today.

We measure a company's debt load relative to its earnings power by looking at its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and by calculating how easily its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) cover its interest expense (interest cover). The advantage of this approach is that we take into account both the absolute quantum of debt (with net debt to EBITDA) and the actual interest expenses associated with that debt (with its interest cover ratio).

Wuchan Zhongda GroupLtd's net debt to EBITDA ratio of about 2.4 suggests only moderate use of debt. And its commanding EBIT of 1k times its interest expense, implies the debt load is as light as a peacock feather. Importantly, Wuchan Zhongda GroupLtd's EBIT fell a jaw-dropping 33% in the last twelve months. If that earnings trend continues then paying off its debt will be about as easy as herding cats on to a roller coaster. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But it is Wuchan Zhongda GroupLtd's earnings that will influence how the balance sheet holds up in the future. So if you're keen to discover more about its earnings, it might be worth checking out this graph of its long term earnings trend.

Finally, while the tax-man may adore accounting profits, lenders only accept cold hard cash. So it's worth checking how much of that EBIT is backed by free cash flow. Looking at the most recent three years, Wuchan Zhongda GroupLtd recorded free cash flow of 30% of its EBIT, which is weaker than we'd expect. That's not great, when it comes to paying down debt.

Our View

To be frank both Wuchan Zhongda GroupLtd's EBIT growth rate and its track record of staying on top of its total liabilities make us rather uncomfortable with its debt levels. But on the bright side, its interest cover is a good sign, and makes us more optimistic. We're quite clear that we consider Wuchan Zhongda GroupLtd to be really rather risky, as a result of its balance sheet health. So we're almost as wary of this stock as a hungry kitten is about falling into its owner's fish pond: once bitten, twice shy, as they say. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. To that end, you should be aware of the 1 warning sign we've spotted with Wuchan Zhongda GroupLtd .

When all is said and done, sometimes its easier to focus on companies that don't even need debt. Readers can access a list of growth stocks with zero net debt 100% free, right now.

Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.

Discover if Wuchan Zhongda GroupLtd might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.