Stock Analysis

Are Robust Financials Driving The Recent Rally In Zhejiang China Commodities City Group Co., Ltd.'s (SHSE:600415) Stock?

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SHSE:600415

Most readers would already be aware that Zhejiang China Commodities City Group's (SHSE:600415) stock increased significantly by 16% over the past month. Given the company's impressive performance, we decided to study its financial indicators more closely as a company's financial health over the long-term usually dictates market outcomes. Specifically, we decided to study Zhejiang China Commodities City Group's ROE in this article.

Return on Equity or ROE is a test of how effectively a company is growing its value and managing investors’ money. In other words, it is a profitability ratio which measures the rate of return on the capital provided by the company's shareholders.

View our latest analysis for Zhejiang China Commodities City Group

How Do You Calculate Return On Equity?

The formula for return on equity is:

Return on Equity = Net Profit (from continuing operations) ÷ Shareholders' Equity

So, based on the above formula, the ROE for Zhejiang China Commodities City Group is:

12% = CN¥2.1b ÷ CN¥18b (Based on the trailing twelve months to June 2024).

The 'return' is the profit over the last twelve months. One way to conceptualize this is that for each CN¥1 of shareholders' capital it has, the company made CN¥0.12 in profit.

What Has ROE Got To Do With Earnings Growth?

Thus far, we have learned that ROE measures how efficiently a company is generating its profits. We now need to evaluate how much profit the company reinvests or "retains" for future growth which then gives us an idea about the growth potential of the company. Assuming everything else remains unchanged, the higher the ROE and profit retention, the higher the growth rate of a company compared to companies that don't necessarily bear these characteristics.

Zhejiang China Commodities City Group's Earnings Growth And 12% ROE

To start with, Zhejiang China Commodities City Group's ROE looks acceptable. Further, the company's ROE compares quite favorably to the industry average of 4.0%. This probably laid the ground for Zhejiang China Commodities City Group's moderate 19% net income growth seen over the past five years.

Next, on comparing with the industry net income growth, we found that the growth figure reported by Zhejiang China Commodities City Group compares quite favourably to the industry average, which shows a decline of 12% over the last few years.

SHSE:600415 Past Earnings Growth September 17th 2024

Earnings growth is an important metric to consider when valuing a stock. It’s important for an investor to know whether the market has priced in the company's expected earnings growth (or decline). Doing so will help them establish if the stock's future looks promising or ominous. Is 600415 fairly valued? This infographic on the company's intrinsic value has everything you need to know.

Is Zhejiang China Commodities City Group Efficiently Re-investing Its Profits?

Zhejiang China Commodities City Group has a healthy combination of a moderate three-year median payout ratio of 28% (or a retention ratio of 72%) and a respectable amount of growth in earnings as we saw above, meaning that the company has been making efficient use of its profits.

Besides, Zhejiang China Commodities City Group has been paying dividends for at least ten years or more. This shows that the company is committed to sharing profits with its shareholders. Our latest analyst data shows that the future payout ratio of the company is expected to rise to 41% over the next three years. Regardless, the future ROE for Zhejiang China Commodities City Group is speculated to rise to 16% despite the anticipated increase in the payout ratio. There could probably be other factors that could be driving the future growth in the ROE.

Summary

On the whole, we feel that Zhejiang China Commodities City Group's performance has been quite good. In particular, it's great to see that the company is investing heavily into its business and along with a high rate of return, that has resulted in a sizeable growth in its earnings. Having said that, looking at the current analyst estimates, we found that the company's earnings are expected to gain momentum. Are these analysts expectations based on the broad expectations for the industry, or on the company's fundamentals? Click here to be taken to our analyst's forecasts page for the company.

Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.

Discover if Zhejiang China Commodities City Group might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.