Stock Analysis

Guangdong Highsun Group Co.,Ltd. (SZSE:000861) May Have Run Too Fast Too Soon With Recent 35% Price Plummet

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SZSE:000861

Unfortunately for some shareholders, the Guangdong Highsun Group Co.,Ltd. (SZSE:000861) share price has dived 35% in the last thirty days, prolonging recent pain. The recent drop completes a disastrous twelve months for shareholders, who are sitting on a 71% loss during that time.

Although its price has dipped substantially, it's still not a stretch to say that Guangdong Highsun GroupLtd's price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 1.7x right now seems quite "middle-of-the-road" compared to the Real Estate industry in China, seeing as it matches the P/S ratio of the wider industry. Although, it's not wise to simply ignore the P/S without explanation as investors may be disregarding a distinct opportunity or a costly mistake.

Check out our latest analysis for Guangdong Highsun GroupLtd

SZSE:000861 Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry August 6th 2024

What Does Guangdong Highsun GroupLtd's Recent Performance Look Like?

For example, consider that Guangdong Highsun GroupLtd's financial performance has been poor lately as its revenue has been in decline. Perhaps investors believe the recent revenue performance is enough to keep in line with the industry, which is keeping the P/S from dropping off. If you like the company, you'd at least be hoping this is the case so that you could potentially pick up some stock while it's not quite in favour.

Although there are no analyst estimates available for Guangdong Highsun GroupLtd, take a look at this free data-rich visualisation to see how the company stacks up on earnings, revenue and cash flow.

How Is Guangdong Highsun GroupLtd's Revenue Growth Trending?

The only time you'd be comfortable seeing a P/S like Guangdong Highsun GroupLtd's is when the company's growth is tracking the industry closely.

Taking a look back first, the company's revenue growth last year wasn't something to get excited about as it posted a disappointing decline of 8.0%. As a result, revenue from three years ago have also fallen 27% overall. Accordingly, shareholders would have felt downbeat about the medium-term rates of revenue growth.

Weighing that medium-term revenue trajectory against the broader industry's one-year forecast for expansion of 8.8% shows it's an unpleasant look.

With this in mind, we find it worrying that Guangdong Highsun GroupLtd's P/S exceeds that of its industry peers. It seems most investors are ignoring the recent poor growth rate and are hoping for a turnaround in the company's business prospects. There's a good chance existing shareholders are setting themselves up for future disappointment if the P/S falls to levels more in line with the recent negative growth rates.

The Key Takeaway

Guangdong Highsun GroupLtd's plummeting stock price has brought its P/S back to a similar region as the rest of the industry. While the price-to-sales ratio shouldn't be the defining factor in whether you buy a stock or not, it's quite a capable barometer of revenue expectations.

Our look at Guangdong Highsun GroupLtd revealed its shrinking revenues over the medium-term haven't impacted the P/S as much as we anticipated, given the industry is set to grow. Even though it matches the industry, we're uncomfortable with the current P/S ratio, as this dismal revenue performance is unlikely to support a more positive sentiment for long. Unless the recent medium-term conditions improve markedly, investors will have a hard time accepting the share price as fair value.

We don't want to rain on the parade too much, but we did also find 4 warning signs for Guangdong Highsun GroupLtd (3 are concerning!) that you need to be mindful of.

If companies with solid past earnings growth is up your alley, you may wish to see this free collection of other companies with strong earnings growth and low P/E ratios.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.