Stock Analysis

We Think Shandong Sito Bio-technology (SZSE:300583) Is Taking Some Risk With Its Debt

Published
SZSE:300583

David Iben put it well when he said, 'Volatility is not a risk we care about. What we care about is avoiding the permanent loss of capital.' So it might be obvious that you need to consider debt, when you think about how risky any given stock is, because too much debt can sink a company. We note that Shandong Sito Bio-technology Co., Ltd. (SZSE:300583) does have debt on its balance sheet. But should shareholders be worried about its use of debt?

Why Does Debt Bring Risk?

Debt is a tool to help businesses grow, but if a business is incapable of paying off its lenders, then it exists at their mercy. Part and parcel of capitalism is the process of 'creative destruction' where failed businesses are mercilessly liquidated by their bankers. However, a more common (but still painful) scenario is that it has to raise new equity capital at a low price, thus permanently diluting shareholders. Of course, debt can be an important tool in businesses, particularly capital heavy businesses. The first thing to do when considering how much debt a business uses is to look at its cash and debt together.

See our latest analysis for Shandong Sito Bio-technology

How Much Debt Does Shandong Sito Bio-technology Carry?

As you can see below, Shandong Sito Bio-technology had CN¥689.3m of debt at September 2024, down from CN¥837.7m a year prior. However, it does have CN¥148.4m in cash offsetting this, leading to net debt of about CN¥540.9m.

SZSE:300583 Debt to Equity History December 24th 2024

How Healthy Is Shandong Sito Bio-technology's Balance Sheet?

According to the last reported balance sheet, Shandong Sito Bio-technology had liabilities of CN¥974.9m due within 12 months, and liabilities of CN¥113.6m due beyond 12 months. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of CN¥148.4m as well as receivables valued at CN¥455.0m due within 12 months. So it has liabilities totalling CN¥485.0m more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.

Of course, Shandong Sito Bio-technology has a market capitalization of CN¥3.92b, so these liabilities are probably manageable. But there are sufficient liabilities that we would certainly recommend shareholders continue to monitor the balance sheet, going forward.

We measure a company's debt load relative to its earnings power by looking at its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and by calculating how easily its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) cover its interest expense (interest cover). The advantage of this approach is that we take into account both the absolute quantum of debt (with net debt to EBITDA) and the actual interest expenses associated with that debt (with its interest cover ratio).

While Shandong Sito Bio-technology has a quite reasonable net debt to EBITDA multiple of 2.5, its interest cover seems weak, at 2.4. In large part that's it has so much depreciation and amortisation. While companies often boast that these charges are non-cash, most such businesses will therefore require ongoing investment (that is not expensed.) In any case, it's safe to say the company has meaningful debt. Importantly, Shandong Sito Bio-technology's EBIT fell a jaw-dropping 23% in the last twelve months. If that earnings trend continues then paying off its debt will be about as easy as herding cats on to a roller coaster. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But you can't view debt in total isolation; since Shandong Sito Bio-technology will need earnings to service that debt. So if you're keen to discover more about its earnings, it might be worth checking out this graph of its long term earnings trend.

Finally, a business needs free cash flow to pay off debt; accounting profits just don't cut it. So it's worth checking how much of that EBIT is backed by free cash flow. In the last three years, Shandong Sito Bio-technology created free cash flow amounting to 5.3% of its EBIT, an uninspiring performance. That limp level of cash conversion undermines its ability to manage and pay down debt.

Our View

Mulling over Shandong Sito Bio-technology's attempt at (not) growing its EBIT, we're certainly not enthusiastic. But at least its level of total liabilities is not so bad. Looking at the bigger picture, it seems clear to us that Shandong Sito Bio-technology's use of debt is creating risks for the company. If everything goes well that may pay off but the downside of this debt is a greater risk of permanent losses. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. These risks can be hard to spot. Every company has them, and we've spotted 2 warning signs for Shandong Sito Bio-technology you should know about.

If you're interested in investing in businesses that can grow profits without the burden of debt, then check out this free list of growing businesses that have net cash on the balance sheet.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.