Stock Analysis
Shandong Jincheng Pharmaceutical Group Co., Ltd's (SZSE:300233) Shares Bounce 39% But Its Business Still Trails The Market
Shandong Jincheng Pharmaceutical Group Co., Ltd (SZSE:300233) shareholders would be excited to see that the share price has had a great month, posting a 39% gain and recovering from prior weakness. Unfortunately, the gains of the last month did little to right the losses of the last year with the stock still down 15% over that time.
Although its price has surged higher, Shandong Jincheng Pharmaceutical Group's price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 28.9x might still make it look like a buy right now compared to the market in China, where around half of the companies have P/E ratios above 34x and even P/E's above 64x are quite common. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/E at face value as there may be an explanation why it's limited.
Shandong Jincheng Pharmaceutical Group certainly has been doing a great job lately as it's been growing earnings at a really rapid pace. It might be that many expect the strong earnings performance to degrade substantially, which has repressed the P/E. If that doesn't eventuate, then existing shareholders have reason to be quite optimistic about the future direction of the share price.
View our latest analysis for Shandong Jincheng Pharmaceutical Group
We don't have analyst forecasts, but you can see how recent trends are setting up the company for the future by checking out our free report on Shandong Jincheng Pharmaceutical Group's earnings, revenue and cash flow.What Are Growth Metrics Telling Us About The Low P/E?
Shandong Jincheng Pharmaceutical Group's P/E ratio would be typical for a company that's only expected to deliver limited growth, and importantly, perform worse than the market.
If we review the last year of earnings growth, the company posted a terrific increase of 32%. However, the latest three year period hasn't been as great in aggregate as it didn't manage to provide any growth at all. So it appears to us that the company has had a mixed result in terms of growing earnings over that time.
Comparing that to the market, which is predicted to deliver 37% growth in the next 12 months, the company's momentum is weaker based on recent medium-term annualised earnings results.
With this information, we can see why Shandong Jincheng Pharmaceutical Group is trading at a P/E lower than the market. Apparently many shareholders weren't comfortable holding on to something they believe will continue to trail the bourse.
The Final Word
Despite Shandong Jincheng Pharmaceutical Group's shares building up a head of steam, its P/E still lags most other companies. Typically, we'd caution against reading too much into price-to-earnings ratios when settling on investment decisions, though it can reveal plenty about what other market participants think about the company.
As we suspected, our examination of Shandong Jincheng Pharmaceutical Group revealed its three-year earnings trends are contributing to its low P/E, given they look worse than current market expectations. At this stage investors feel the potential for an improvement in earnings isn't great enough to justify a higher P/E ratio. Unless the recent medium-term conditions improve, they will continue to form a barrier for the share price around these levels.
Before you settle on your opinion, we've discovered 2 warning signs for Shandong Jincheng Pharmaceutical Group that you should be aware of.
You might be able to find a better investment than Shandong Jincheng Pharmaceutical Group. If you want a selection of possible candidates, check out this free list of interesting companies that trade on a low P/E (but have proven they can grow earnings).
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About SZSE:300233
Shandong Jincheng Pharmaceutical Group
Researches and develops, produces, markets, and sells Cephalosporin intermediates in China and internationally.