Stock Analysis

Insufficient Growth At North China Pharmaceutical Company.Ltd (SHSE:600812) Hampers Share Price

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SHSE:600812

With a price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 0.9x North China Pharmaceutical Company.Ltd (SHSE:600812) may be sending very bullish signals at the moment, given that almost half of all the Pharmaceuticals companies in China have P/S ratios greater than 3.3x and even P/S higher than 7x are not unusual. However, the P/S might be quite low for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.

See our latest analysis for North China Pharmaceutical Company.Ltd

SHSE:600812 Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry January 18th 2025

What Does North China Pharmaceutical Company.Ltd's Recent Performance Look Like?

For instance, North China Pharmaceutical Company.Ltd's receding revenue in recent times would have to be some food for thought. One possibility is that the P/S is low because investors think the company won't do enough to avoid underperforming the broader industry in the near future. If you like the company, you'd be hoping this isn't the case so that you could potentially pick up some stock while it's out of favour.

Although there are no analyst estimates available for North China Pharmaceutical Company.Ltd, take a look at this free data-rich visualisation to see how the company stacks up on earnings, revenue and cash flow.

Is There Any Revenue Growth Forecasted For North China Pharmaceutical Company.Ltd?

North China Pharmaceutical Company.Ltd's P/S ratio would be typical for a company that's expected to deliver very poor growth or even falling revenue, and importantly, perform much worse than the industry.

Retrospectively, the last year delivered a frustrating 8.4% decrease to the company's top line. This means it has also seen a slide in revenue over the longer-term as revenue is down 8.6% in total over the last three years. So unfortunately, we have to acknowledge that the company has not done a great job of growing revenue over that time.

Comparing that to the industry, which is predicted to deliver 182% growth in the next 12 months, the company's downward momentum based on recent medium-term revenue results is a sobering picture.

With this information, we are not surprised that North China Pharmaceutical Company.Ltd is trading at a P/S lower than the industry. Nonetheless, there's no guarantee the P/S has reached a floor yet with revenue going in reverse. Even just maintaining these prices could be difficult to achieve as recent revenue trends are already weighing down the shares.

The Bottom Line On North China Pharmaceutical Company.Ltd's P/S

Using the price-to-sales ratio alone to determine if you should sell your stock isn't sensible, however it can be a practical guide to the company's future prospects.

Our examination of North China Pharmaceutical Company.Ltd confirms that the company's shrinking revenue over the past medium-term is a key factor in its low price-to-sales ratio, given the industry is projected to grow. At this stage investors feel the potential for an improvement in revenue isn't great enough to justify a higher P/S ratio. Unless the recent medium-term conditions improve, they will continue to form a barrier for the share price around these levels.

You should always think about risks. Case in point, we've spotted 2 warning signs for North China Pharmaceutical Company.Ltd you should be aware of, and 1 of them is potentially serious.

If companies with solid past earnings growth is up your alley, you may wish to see this free collection of other companies with strong earnings growth and low P/E ratios.

Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.

Discover if North China Pharmaceutical Company.Ltd might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.