Stock Analysis
Investors Still Aren't Entirely Convinced By Zhejiang Meorient Commerce Exhibition Inc.'s (SZSE:300795) Earnings Despite 35% Price Jump
Zhejiang Meorient Commerce Exhibition Inc. (SZSE:300795) shares have had a really impressive month, gaining 35% after a shaky period beforehand. Unfortunately, the gains of the last month did little to right the losses of the last year with the stock still down 23% over that time.
In spite of the firm bounce in price, Zhejiang Meorient Commerce Exhibition's price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 26.6x might still make it look like a buy right now compared to the market in China, where around half of the companies have P/E ratios above 34x and even P/E's above 65x are quite common. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/E at face value as there may be an explanation why it's limited.
With its earnings growth in positive territory compared to the declining earnings of most other companies, Zhejiang Meorient Commerce Exhibition has been doing quite well of late. One possibility is that the P/E is low because investors think the company's earnings are going to fall away like everyone else's soon. If not, then existing shareholders have reason to be quite optimistic about the future direction of the share price.
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The only time you'd be truly comfortable seeing a P/E as low as Zhejiang Meorient Commerce Exhibition's is when the company's growth is on track to lag the market.
Taking a look back first, we see that the company managed to grow earnings per share by a handy 8.0% last year. However, due to its less than impressive performance prior to this period, EPS growth is practically non-existent over the last three years overall. Accordingly, shareholders probably wouldn't have been overly satisfied with the unstable medium-term growth rates.
Shifting to the future, estimates from the five analysts covering the company suggest earnings should grow by 35% each year over the next three years. Meanwhile, the rest of the market is forecast to only expand by 19% per year, which is noticeably less attractive.
In light of this, it's peculiar that Zhejiang Meorient Commerce Exhibition's P/E sits below the majority of other companies. It looks like most investors are not convinced at all that the company can achieve future growth expectations.
The Bottom Line On Zhejiang Meorient Commerce Exhibition's P/E
Despite Zhejiang Meorient Commerce Exhibition's shares building up a head of steam, its P/E still lags most other companies. While the price-to-earnings ratio shouldn't be the defining factor in whether you buy a stock or not, it's quite a capable barometer of earnings expectations.
We've established that Zhejiang Meorient Commerce Exhibition currently trades on a much lower than expected P/E since its forecast growth is higher than the wider market. There could be some major unobserved threats to earnings preventing the P/E ratio from matching the positive outlook. It appears many are indeed anticipating earnings instability, because these conditions should normally provide a boost to the share price.
You always need to take note of risks, for example - Zhejiang Meorient Commerce Exhibition has 1 warning sign we think you should be aware of.
Of course, you might find a fantastic investment by looking at a few good candidates. So take a peek at this free list of companies with a strong growth track record, trading on a low P/E.
Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.
Discover if Zhejiang Meorient Commerce Exhibition might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About SZSE:300795
Zhejiang Meorient Commerce Exhibition
Zhejiang Meorient Commerce Exhibition Inc.