Stock Analysis

Southern Publishing and MediaLtd's (SHSE:601900) earnings growth rate lags the 20% CAGR delivered to shareholders

SHSE:601900
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It hasn't been the best quarter for Southern Publishing and Media Co.,Ltd. (SHSE:601900) shareholders, since the share price has fallen 24% in that time. But don't let that distract from the very nice return generated over three years. To wit, the share price did better than an index fund, climbing 55% during that period.

Since the long term performance has been good but there's been a recent pullback of 6.1%, let's check if the fundamentals match the share price.

Check out our latest analysis for Southern Publishing and MediaLtd

There is no denying that markets are sometimes efficient, but prices do not always reflect underlying business performance. One way to examine how market sentiment has changed over time is to look at the interaction between a company's share price and its earnings per share (EPS).

Southern Publishing and MediaLtd was able to grow its EPS at 15% per year over three years, sending the share price higher. This EPS growth is remarkably close to the 16% average annual increase in the share price. This observation indicates that the market's attitude to the business hasn't changed all that much. Au contraire, the share price change has arguably mimicked the EPS growth.

The company's earnings per share (over time) is depicted in the image below (click to see the exact numbers).

earnings-per-share-growth
SHSE:601900 Earnings Per Share Growth June 7th 2024

We know that Southern Publishing and MediaLtd has improved its bottom line lately, but is it going to grow revenue? Check if analysts think Southern Publishing and MediaLtd will grow revenue in the future.

What About Dividends?

It is important to consider the total shareholder return, as well as the share price return, for any given stock. The TSR is a return calculation that accounts for the value of cash dividends (assuming that any dividend received was reinvested) and the calculated value of any discounted capital raisings and spin-offs. Arguably, the TSR gives a more comprehensive picture of the return generated by a stock. As it happens, Southern Publishing and MediaLtd's TSR for the last 3 years was 72%, which exceeds the share price return mentioned earlier. This is largely a result of its dividend payments!

A Different Perspective

We regret to report that Southern Publishing and MediaLtd shareholders are down 47% for the year (even including dividends). Unfortunately, that's worse than the broader market decline of 12%. However, it could simply be that the share price has been impacted by broader market jitters. It might be worth keeping an eye on the fundamentals, in case there's a good opportunity. On the bright side, long term shareholders have made money, with a gain of 10% per year over half a decade. If the fundamental data continues to indicate long term sustainable growth, the current sell-off could be an opportunity worth considering. I find it very interesting to look at share price over the long term as a proxy for business performance. But to truly gain insight, we need to consider other information, too. For example, we've discovered 1 warning sign for Southern Publishing and MediaLtd that you should be aware of before investing here.

Of course, you might find a fantastic investment by looking elsewhere. So take a peek at this free list of companies we expect will grow earnings.

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on Chinese exchanges.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.