Stock Analysis
Revenues Tell The Story For Chengdu B-ray Media Co.,Ltd. (SHSE:600880) As Its Stock Soars 26%
Chengdu B-ray Media Co.,Ltd. (SHSE:600880) shares have continued their recent momentum with a 26% gain in the last month alone. While recent buyers may be laughing, long-term holders might not be as pleased since the recent gain only brings the stock back to where it started a year ago.
After such a large jump in price, Chengdu B-ray MediaLtd may be sending strong sell signals at present with a price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 13.2x, when you consider almost half of the companies in the Media industry in China have P/S ratios under 4x and even P/S lower than 1.8x aren't out of the ordinary. However, the P/S might be quite high for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.
Check out our latest analysis for Chengdu B-ray MediaLtd
How Chengdu B-ray MediaLtd Has Been Performing
While the industry has experienced revenue growth lately, Chengdu B-ray MediaLtd's revenue has gone into reverse gear, which is not great. Perhaps the market is expecting the poor revenue to reverse, justifying it's current high P/S.. If not, then existing shareholders may be extremely nervous about the viability of the share price.
Want the full picture on analyst estimates for the company? Then our free report on Chengdu B-ray MediaLtd will help you uncover what's on the horizon.Do Revenue Forecasts Match The High P/S Ratio?
In order to justify its P/S ratio, Chengdu B-ray MediaLtd would need to produce outstanding growth that's well in excess of the industry.
In reviewing the last year of financials, we were disheartened to see the company's revenues fell to the tune of 15%. This means it has also seen a slide in revenue over the longer-term as revenue is down 32% in total over the last three years. Therefore, it's fair to say the revenue growth recently has been undesirable for the company.
Turning to the outlook, the next year should generate growth of 30% as estimated by the one analyst watching the company. Meanwhile, the rest of the industry is forecast to only expand by 13%, which is noticeably less attractive.
With this information, we can see why Chengdu B-ray MediaLtd is trading at such a high P/S compared to the industry. It seems most investors are expecting this strong future growth and are willing to pay more for the stock.
What We Can Learn From Chengdu B-ray MediaLtd's P/S?
The strong share price surge has lead to Chengdu B-ray MediaLtd's P/S soaring as well. Typically, we'd caution against reading too much into price-to-sales ratios when settling on investment decisions, though it can reveal plenty about what other market participants think about the company.
Our look into Chengdu B-ray MediaLtd shows that its P/S ratio remains high on the merit of its strong future revenues. Right now shareholders are comfortable with the P/S as they are quite confident future revenues aren't under threat. Unless the analysts have really missed the mark, these strong revenue forecasts should keep the share price buoyant.
It's always necessary to consider the ever-present spectre of investment risk. We've identified 1 warning sign with Chengdu B-ray MediaLtd, and understanding should be part of your investment process.
It's important to make sure you look for a great company, not just the first idea you come across. So if growing profitability aligns with your idea of a great company, take a peek at this free list of interesting companies with strong recent earnings growth (and a low P/E).
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About SHSE:600880
Chengdu B-ray MediaLtd
Engages in the media operations business in China.