Stock Analysis
Zhejiang Furun Digital Technology CO.,LTD's (SHSE:600070) Popularity With Investors Under Threat As Stock Sinks 27%
Zhejiang Furun Digital Technology CO.,LTD (SHSE:600070) shares have had a horrible month, losing 27% after a relatively good period beforehand. Instead of being rewarded, shareholders who have already held through the last twelve months are now sitting on a 48% share price drop.
Even after such a large drop in price, you could still be forgiven for thinking Zhejiang Furun Digital TechnologyLTD is a stock to steer clear of with a price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") of 5.6x, considering almost half the companies in China's Media industry have P/S ratios below 3.2x. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the highly elevated P/S.
View our latest analysis for Zhejiang Furun Digital TechnologyLTD
What Does Zhejiang Furun Digital TechnologyLTD's Recent Performance Look Like?
For example, consider that Zhejiang Furun Digital TechnologyLTD's financial performance has been poor lately as its revenue has been in decline. One possibility is that the P/S is high because investors think the company will still do enough to outperform the broader industry in the near future. If not, then existing shareholders may be quite nervous about the viability of the share price.
Want the full picture on earnings, revenue and cash flow for the company? Then our free report on Zhejiang Furun Digital TechnologyLTD will help you shine a light on its historical performance.Do Revenue Forecasts Match The High P/S Ratio?
The only time you'd be truly comfortable seeing a P/S as steep as Zhejiang Furun Digital TechnologyLTD's is when the company's growth is on track to outshine the industry decidedly.
In reviewing the last year of financials, we were disheartened to see the company's revenues fell to the tune of 7.7%. The last three years don't look nice either as the company has shrunk revenue by 94% in aggregate. Accordingly, shareholders would have felt downbeat about the medium-term rates of revenue growth.
In contrast to the company, the rest of the industry is expected to grow by 12% over the next year, which really puts the company's recent medium-term revenue decline into perspective.
With this in mind, we find it worrying that Zhejiang Furun Digital TechnologyLTD's P/S exceeds that of its industry peers. It seems most investors are ignoring the recent poor growth rate and are hoping for a turnaround in the company's business prospects. Only the boldest would assume these prices are sustainable as a continuation of recent revenue trends is likely to weigh heavily on the share price eventually.
The Key Takeaway
A significant share price dive has done very little to deflate Zhejiang Furun Digital TechnologyLTD's very lofty P/S. Using the price-to-sales ratio alone to determine if you should sell your stock isn't sensible, however it can be a practical guide to the company's future prospects.
We've established that Zhejiang Furun Digital TechnologyLTD currently trades on a much higher than expected P/S since its recent revenues have been in decline over the medium-term. Right now we aren't comfortable with the high P/S as this revenue performance is highly unlikely to support such positive sentiment for long. Unless the the circumstances surrounding the recent medium-term improve, it wouldn't be wrong to expect a a difficult period ahead for the company's shareholders.
And what about other risks? Every company has them, and we've spotted 3 warning signs for Zhejiang Furun Digital TechnologyLTD (of which 2 are potentially serious!) you should know about.
If strong companies turning a profit tickle your fancy, then you'll want to check out this free list of interesting companies that trade on a low P/E (but have proven they can grow earnings).
Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.
Discover if Zhejiang Furun Digital TechnologyLTD might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About SHSE:600070
Zhejiang Furun Digital TechnologyLTD
Provides internet services in China.