Stock Analysis
More Unpleasant Surprises Could Be In Store For Wells Advanced Materials (Shanghai) Co., Ltd.'s (SZSE:301555) Shares After Tumbling 28%
Wells Advanced Materials (Shanghai) Co., Ltd. (SZSE:301555) shareholders won't be pleased to see that the share price has had a very rough month, dropping 28% and undoing the prior period's positive performance. Longer-term shareholders will rue the drop in the share price, since it's now virtually flat for the year after a promising few quarters.
In spite of the heavy fall in price, Wells Advanced Materials (Shanghai)'s price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 63.2x might still make it look like a strong sell right now compared to the market in China, where around half of the companies have P/E ratios below 30x and even P/E's below 18x are quite common. However, the P/E might be quite high for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.
For example, consider that Wells Advanced Materials (Shanghai)'s financial performance has been poor lately as its earnings have been in decline. It might be that many expect the company to still outplay most other companies over the coming period, which has kept the P/E from collapsing. You'd really hope so, otherwise you're paying a pretty hefty price for no particular reason.
View our latest analysis for Wells Advanced Materials (Shanghai)
Although there are no analyst estimates available for Wells Advanced Materials (Shanghai), take a look at this free data-rich visualisation to see how the company stacks up on earnings, revenue and cash flow.Does Growth Match The High P/E?
There's an inherent assumption that a company should far outperform the market for P/E ratios like Wells Advanced Materials (Shanghai)'s to be considered reasonable.
Taking a look back first, the company's earnings per share growth last year wasn't something to get excited about as it posted a disappointing decline of 48%. As a result, earnings from three years ago have also fallen 47% overall. Therefore, it's fair to say the earnings growth recently has been undesirable for the company.
Comparing that to the market, which is predicted to deliver 38% growth in the next 12 months, the company's downward momentum based on recent medium-term earnings results is a sobering picture.
With this information, we find it concerning that Wells Advanced Materials (Shanghai) is trading at a P/E higher than the market. It seems most investors are ignoring the recent poor growth rate and are hoping for a turnaround in the company's business prospects. There's a very good chance existing shareholders are setting themselves up for future disappointment if the P/E falls to levels more in line with the recent negative growth rates.
The Key Takeaway
Even after such a strong price drop, Wells Advanced Materials (Shanghai)'s P/E still exceeds the rest of the market significantly. Generally, our preference is to limit the use of the price-to-earnings ratio to establishing what the market thinks about the overall health of a company.
We've established that Wells Advanced Materials (Shanghai) currently trades on a much higher than expected P/E since its recent earnings have been in decline over the medium-term. Right now we are increasingly uncomfortable with the high P/E as this earnings performance is highly unlikely to support such positive sentiment for long. Unless the recent medium-term conditions improve markedly, it's very challenging to accept these prices as being reasonable.
Before you settle on your opinion, we've discovered 3 warning signs for Wells Advanced Materials (Shanghai) (2 are potentially serious!) that you should be aware of.
You might be able to find a better investment than Wells Advanced Materials (Shanghai). If you want a selection of possible candidates, check out this free list of interesting companies that trade on a low P/E (but have proven they can grow earnings).
Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.
Discover if Wells Advanced Materials (Shanghai) might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About SZSE:301555
Wells Advanced Materials (Shanghai)
Wells Advanced Materials (Shanghai) Co., Ltd.