Stock Analysis

Sichuan Qiaoyuan Gas Co.,Ltd.'s (SZSE:301286) Stock Has Shown Weakness Lately But Financial Prospects Look Decent: Is The Market Wrong?

SZSE:301286
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Sichuan Qiaoyuan GasLtd (SZSE:301286) has had a rough month with its share price down 11%. However, the company's fundamentals look pretty decent, and long-term financials are usually aligned with future market price movements. Specifically, we decided to study Sichuan Qiaoyuan GasLtd's ROE in this article.

ROE or return on equity is a useful tool to assess how effectively a company can generate returns on the investment it received from its shareholders. In other words, it is a profitability ratio which measures the rate of return on the capital provided by the company's shareholders.

View our latest analysis for Sichuan Qiaoyuan GasLtd

How Is ROE Calculated?

Return on equity can be calculated by using the formula:

Return on Equity = Net Profit (from continuing operations) ÷ Shareholders' Equity

So, based on the above formula, the ROE for Sichuan Qiaoyuan GasLtd is:

11% = CN¥183m ÷ CN¥1.7b (Based on the trailing twelve months to March 2024).

The 'return' is the yearly profit. So, this means that for every CN¥1 of its shareholder's investments, the company generates a profit of CN¥0.11.

Why Is ROE Important For Earnings Growth?

We have already established that ROE serves as an efficient profit-generating gauge for a company's future earnings. Depending on how much of these profits the company reinvests or "retains", and how effectively it does so, we are then able to assess a company’s earnings growth potential. Assuming everything else remains unchanged, the higher the ROE and profit retention, the higher the growth rate of a company compared to companies that don't necessarily bear these characteristics.

Sichuan Qiaoyuan GasLtd's Earnings Growth And 11% ROE

At first glance, Sichuan Qiaoyuan GasLtd's ROE doesn't look very promising. Although a closer study shows that the company's ROE is higher than the industry average of 6.3% which we definitely can't overlook. But seeing Sichuan Qiaoyuan GasLtd's five year net income decline of 11% over the past five years, we might rethink that. Remember, the company's ROE is a bit low to begin with, just that it is higher than the industry average. So that could be one of the factors that are causing earnings growth to shrink.

That being said, we compared Sichuan Qiaoyuan GasLtd's performance with the industry and were concerned when we found that while the company has shrunk its earnings, the industry has grown its earnings at a rate of 7.8% in the same 5-year period.

past-earnings-growth
SZSE:301286 Past Earnings Growth June 7th 2024

The basis for attaching value to a company is, to a great extent, tied to its earnings growth. The investor should try to establish if the expected growth or decline in earnings, whichever the case may be, is priced in. This then helps them determine if the stock is placed for a bright or bleak future. If you're wondering about Sichuan Qiaoyuan GasLtd's's valuation, check out this gauge of its price-to-earnings ratio, as compared to its industry.

Is Sichuan Qiaoyuan GasLtd Making Efficient Use Of Its Profits?

When we piece together Sichuan Qiaoyuan GasLtd's low three-year median payout ratio of 24% (where it is retaining 76% of its profits), calculated for the last three-year period, we are puzzled by the lack of growth. This typically shouldn't be the case when a company is retaining most of its earnings. So there could be some other explanations in that regard. For example, the company's business may be deteriorating.

Additionally, Sichuan Qiaoyuan GasLtd started paying a dividend only recently. So it looks like the management may have perceived that shareholders favor dividends even though earnings have been in decline.

Summary

In total, it does look like Sichuan Qiaoyuan GasLtd has some positive aspects to its business. Yet, the low earnings growth is a bit concerning, especially given that the company has a respectable rate of return and is reinvesting a huge portion of its profits. By the looks of it, there could be some other factors, not necessarily in control of the business, that's preventing growth. While we won't completely dismiss the company, what we would do, is try to ascertain how risky the business is to make a more informed decision around the company. To know the 1 risk we have identified for Sichuan Qiaoyuan GasLtd visit our risks dashboard for free.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.