Stock Analysis
Henan Jindan Lactic Acid Technology Co.,Ltd.'s (SZSE:300829) Stock is Soaring But Financials Seem Inconsistent: Will The Uptrend Continue?
Henan Jindan Lactic Acid TechnologyLtd (SZSE:300829) has had a great run on the share market with its stock up by a significant 45% over the last three months. But the company's key financial indicators appear to be differing across the board and that makes us question whether or not the company's current share price momentum can be maintained. Particularly, we will be paying attention to Henan Jindan Lactic Acid TechnologyLtd's ROE today.
ROE or return on equity is a useful tool to assess how effectively a company can generate returns on the investment it received from its shareholders. Put another way, it reveals the company's success at turning shareholder investments into profits.
See our latest analysis for Henan Jindan Lactic Acid TechnologyLtd
How Is ROE Calculated?
The formula for return on equity is:
Return on Equity = Net Profit (from continuing operations) ÷ Shareholders' Equity
So, based on the above formula, the ROE for Henan Jindan Lactic Acid TechnologyLtd is:
4.1% = CN¥75m ÷ CN¥1.8b (Based on the trailing twelve months to September 2024).
The 'return' is the profit over the last twelve months. One way to conceptualize this is that for each CN¥1 of shareholders' capital it has, the company made CN¥0.04 in profit.
Why Is ROE Important For Earnings Growth?
Thus far, we have learned that ROE measures how efficiently a company is generating its profits. We now need to evaluate how much profit the company reinvests or "retains" for future growth which then gives us an idea about the growth potential of the company. Assuming everything else remains unchanged, the higher the ROE and profit retention, the higher the growth rate of a company compared to companies that don't necessarily bear these characteristics.
A Side By Side comparison of Henan Jindan Lactic Acid TechnologyLtd's Earnings Growth And 4.1% ROE
It is hard to argue that Henan Jindan Lactic Acid TechnologyLtd's ROE is much good in and of itself. Even compared to the average industry ROE of 6.2%, the company's ROE is quite dismal. For this reason, Henan Jindan Lactic Acid TechnologyLtd's five year net income decline of 5.4% is not surprising given its lower ROE. However, there could also be other factors causing the earnings to decline. For instance, the company has a very high payout ratio, or is faced with competitive pressures.
So, as a next step, we compared Henan Jindan Lactic Acid TechnologyLtd's performance against the industry and were disappointed to discover that while the company has been shrinking its earnings, the industry has been growing its earnings at a rate of 4.9% over the last few years.
Earnings growth is a huge factor in stock valuation. The investor should try to establish if the expected growth or decline in earnings, whichever the case may be, is priced in. By doing so, they will have an idea if the stock is headed into clear blue waters or if swampy waters await. If you're wondering about Henan Jindan Lactic Acid TechnologyLtd's's valuation, check out this gauge of its price-to-earnings ratio, as compared to its industry.
Is Henan Jindan Lactic Acid TechnologyLtd Making Efficient Use Of Its Profits?
Henan Jindan Lactic Acid TechnologyLtd's low three-year median payout ratio of 18% (implying that it retains the remaining 82% of its profits) comes as a surprise when you pair it with the shrinking earnings. This typically shouldn't be the case when a company is retaining most of its earnings. So there might be other factors at play here which could potentially be hampering growth. For instance, the business has faced some headwinds.
Additionally, Henan Jindan Lactic Acid TechnologyLtd has paid dividends over a period of four years, which means that the company's management is rather focused on keeping up its dividend payments, regardless of the shrinking earnings.
Conclusion
On the whole, we feel that the performance shown by Henan Jindan Lactic Acid TechnologyLtd can be open to many interpretations. While the company does have a high rate of reinvestment, the low ROE means that all that reinvestment is not reaping any benefit to its investors, and moreover, its having a negative impact on the earnings growth. Wrapping up, we would proceed with caution with this company and one way of doing that would be to look at the risk profile of the business. Our risks dashboard would have the 4 risks we have identified for Henan Jindan Lactic Acid TechnologyLtd.
Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About SZSE:300829
Henan Jindan Lactic Acid TechnologyLtd
Henan Jindan Lactic Acid Technology Co.,Ltd.