Stock Analysis

These 4 Measures Indicate That Hubei DinglongLtd (SZSE:300054) Is Using Debt Reasonably Well

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SZSE:300054

Legendary fund manager Li Lu (who Charlie Munger backed) once said, 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' So it might be obvious that you need to consider debt, when you think about how risky any given stock is, because too much debt can sink a company. As with many other companies Hubei Dinglong CO.,Ltd. (SZSE:300054) makes use of debt. But is this debt a concern to shareholders?

What Risk Does Debt Bring?

Generally speaking, debt only becomes a real problem when a company can't easily pay it off, either by raising capital or with its own cash flow. Part and parcel of capitalism is the process of 'creative destruction' where failed businesses are mercilessly liquidated by their bankers. However, a more common (but still painful) scenario is that it has to raise new equity capital at a low price, thus permanently diluting shareholders. By replacing dilution, though, debt can be an extremely good tool for businesses that need capital to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about a company's use of debt, we first look at cash and debt together.

See our latest analysis for Hubei DinglongLtd

What Is Hubei DinglongLtd's Net Debt?

The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that at March 2024 Hubei DinglongLtd had debt of CN¥1.16b, up from CN¥545.3m in one year. On the flip side, it has CN¥1.12b in cash leading to net debt of about CN¥42.1m.

SZSE:300054 Debt to Equity History August 17th 2024

How Strong Is Hubei DinglongLtd's Balance Sheet?

We can see from the most recent balance sheet that Hubei DinglongLtd had liabilities of CN¥870.8m falling due within a year, and liabilities of CN¥1.15b due beyond that. On the other hand, it had cash of CN¥1.12b and CN¥923.0m worth of receivables due within a year. So its total liabilities are just about perfectly matched by its shorter-term, liquid assets.

Having regard to Hubei DinglongLtd's size, it seems that its liquid assets are well balanced with its total liabilities. So while it's hard to imagine that the CN¥18.6b company is struggling for cash, we still think it's worth monitoring its balance sheet. Carrying virtually no net debt, Hubei DinglongLtd has a very light debt load indeed.

We use two main ratios to inform us about debt levels relative to earnings. The first is net debt divided by earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA), while the second is how many times its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) covers its interest expense (or its interest cover, for short). The advantage of this approach is that we take into account both the absolute quantum of debt (with net debt to EBITDA) and the actual interest expenses associated with that debt (with its interest cover ratio).

Hubei DinglongLtd has very little debt (net of cash), and boasts a debt to EBITDA ratio of 0.085 and EBIT of 24.8 times the interest expense. Indeed relative to its earnings its debt load seems light as a feather. On the other hand, Hubei DinglongLtd saw its EBIT drop by 8.7% in the last twelve months. If earnings continue to decline at that rate the company may have increasing difficulty managing its debt load. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if Hubei DinglongLtd can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.

But our final consideration is also important, because a company cannot pay debt with paper profits; it needs cold hard cash. So we clearly need to look at whether that EBIT is leading to corresponding free cash flow. During the last three years, Hubei DinglongLtd burned a lot of cash. While investors are no doubt expecting a reversal of that situation in due course, it clearly does mean its use of debt is more risky.

Our View

Based on what we've seen Hubei DinglongLtd is not finding it easy, given its conversion of EBIT to free cash flow, but the other factors we considered give us cause to be optimistic. In particular, we are dazzled with its interest cover. Looking at all this data makes us feel a little cautious about Hubei DinglongLtd's debt levels. While we appreciate debt can enhance returns on equity, we'd suggest that shareholders keep close watch on its debt levels, lest they increase. Over time, share prices tend to follow earnings per share, so if you're interested in Hubei DinglongLtd, you may well want to click here to check an interactive graph of its earnings per share history.

If you're interested in investing in businesses that can grow profits without the burden of debt, then check out this free list of growing businesses that have net cash on the balance sheet.

Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.