Stock Analysis

Does Shenzhen Capchem Technology (SZSE:300037) Have A Healthy Balance Sheet?

Published
SZSE:300037

Legendary fund manager Li Lu (who Charlie Munger backed) once said, 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' When we think about how risky a company is, we always like to look at its use of debt, since debt overload can lead to ruin. We can see that Shenzhen Capchem Technology Co., Ltd. (SZSE:300037) does use debt in its business. But the more important question is: how much risk is that debt creating?

When Is Debt Dangerous?

Debt and other liabilities become risky for a business when it cannot easily fulfill those obligations, either with free cash flow or by raising capital at an attractive price. If things get really bad, the lenders can take control of the business. While that is not too common, we often do see indebted companies permanently diluting shareholders because lenders force them to raise capital at a distressed price. Having said that, the most common situation is where a company manages its debt reasonably well - and to its own advantage. When we think about a company's use of debt, we first look at cash and debt together.

View our latest analysis for Shenzhen Capchem Technology

How Much Debt Does Shenzhen Capchem Technology Carry?

The chart below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that Shenzhen Capchem Technology had CN¥3.19b in debt in September 2024; about the same as the year before. However, because it has a cash reserve of CN¥2.55b, its net debt is less, at about CN¥637.8m.

SZSE:300037 Debt to Equity History March 11th 2025

A Look At Shenzhen Capchem Technology's Liabilities

According to the last reported balance sheet, Shenzhen Capchem Technology had liabilities of CN¥4.50b due within 12 months, and liabilities of CN¥2.62b due beyond 12 months. On the other hand, it had cash of CN¥2.55b and CN¥3.90b worth of receivables due within a year. So its liabilities total CN¥659.1m more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.

Given Shenzhen Capchem Technology has a market capitalization of CN¥26.4b, it's hard to believe these liabilities pose much threat. But there are sufficient liabilities that we would certainly recommend shareholders continue to monitor the balance sheet, going forward.

In order to size up a company's debt relative to its earnings, we calculate its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) divided by its interest expense (its interest cover). The advantage of this approach is that we take into account both the absolute quantum of debt (with net debt to EBITDA) and the actual interest expenses associated with that debt (with its interest cover ratio).

Shenzhen Capchem Technology's net debt is only 0.46 times its EBITDA. And its EBIT covers its interest expense a whopping 79.1 times over. So you could argue it is no more threatened by its debt than an elephant is by a mouse. But the bad news is that Shenzhen Capchem Technology has seen its EBIT plunge 17% in the last twelve months. We think hat kind of performance, if repeated frequently, could well lead to difficulties for the stock. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine Shenzhen Capchem Technology's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.

Finally, a business needs free cash flow to pay off debt; accounting profits just don't cut it. So we clearly need to look at whether that EBIT is leading to corresponding free cash flow. Over the last three years, Shenzhen Capchem Technology reported free cash flow worth 17% of its EBIT, which is really quite low. That limp level of cash conversion undermines its ability to manage and pay down debt.

Our View

Both Shenzhen Capchem Technology's ability to to cover its interest expense with its EBIT and its net debt to EBITDA gave us comfort that it can handle its debt. But truth be told its EBIT growth rate had us nibbling our nails. When we consider all the factors mentioned above, we do feel a bit cautious about Shenzhen Capchem Technology's use of debt. While debt does have its upside in higher potential returns, we think shareholders should definitely consider how debt levels might make the stock more risky. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. For example, we've discovered 1 warning sign for Shenzhen Capchem Technology that you should be aware of before investing here.

Of course, if you're the type of investor who prefers buying stocks without the burden of debt, then don't hesitate to discover our exclusive list of net cash growth stocks, today.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.