Stock Analysis

Guangdong Enpack Packaging Co., Ltd.'s (SZSE:002846) Stock is Soaring But Financials Seem Inconsistent: Will The Uptrend Continue?

SZSE:002846
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Guangdong Enpack Packaging's (SZSE:002846) stock is up by a considerable 31% over the past month. But the company's key financial indicators appear to be differing across the board and that makes us question whether or not the company's current share price momentum can be maintained. In this article, we decided to focus on Guangdong Enpack Packaging's ROE.

Return on equity or ROE is a key measure used to assess how efficiently a company's management is utilizing the company's capital. In simpler terms, it measures the profitability of a company in relation to shareholder's equity.

View our latest analysis for Guangdong Enpack Packaging

How Do You Calculate Return On Equity?

ROE can be calculated by using the formula:

Return on Equity = Net Profit (from continuing operations) ÷ Shareholders' Equity

So, based on the above formula, the ROE for Guangdong Enpack Packaging is:

0.9% = CN¥14m ÷ CN¥1.5b (Based on the trailing twelve months to June 2024).

The 'return' is the yearly profit. So, this means that for every CN¥1 of its shareholder's investments, the company generates a profit of CN¥0.01.

What Has ROE Got To Do With Earnings Growth?

So far, we've learned that ROE is a measure of a company's profitability. We now need to evaluate how much profit the company reinvests or "retains" for future growth which then gives us an idea about the growth potential of the company. Assuming everything else remains unchanged, the higher the ROE and profit retention, the higher the growth rate of a company compared to companies that don't necessarily bear these characteristics.

Guangdong Enpack Packaging's Earnings Growth And 0.9% ROE

As you can see, Guangdong Enpack Packaging's ROE looks pretty weak. Not just that, even compared to the industry average of 6.1%, the company's ROE is entirely unremarkable. Given the circumstances, the significant decline in net income by 49% seen by Guangdong Enpack Packaging over the last five years is not surprising. We reckon that there could also be other factors at play here. For example, the business has allocated capital poorly, or that the company has a very high payout ratio.

So, as a next step, we compared Guangdong Enpack Packaging's performance against the industry and were disappointed to discover that while the company has been shrinking its earnings, the industry has been growing its earnings at a rate of 1.9% over the last few years.

past-earnings-growth
SZSE:002846 Past Earnings Growth October 23rd 2024

Earnings growth is a huge factor in stock valuation. It’s important for an investor to know whether the market has priced in the company's expected earnings growth (or decline). Doing so will help them establish if the stock's future looks promising or ominous. Is Guangdong Enpack Packaging fairly valued compared to other companies? These 3 valuation measures might help you decide.

Is Guangdong Enpack Packaging Using Its Retained Earnings Effectively?

Despite having a normal three-year median payout ratio of 47% (where it is retaining 53% of its profits), Guangdong Enpack Packaging has seen a decline in earnings as we saw above. So there might be other factors at play here which could potentially be hampering growth. For example, the business has faced some headwinds.

In addition, Guangdong Enpack Packaging has been paying dividends over a period of seven years suggesting that keeping up dividend payments is preferred by the management even though earnings have been in decline.

Summary

In total, we're a bit ambivalent about Guangdong Enpack Packaging's performance. While the company does have a high rate of reinvestment, the low ROE means that all that reinvestment is not reaping any benefit to its investors, and moreover, its having a negative impact on the earnings growth. Wrapping up, we would proceed with caution with this company and one way of doing that would be to look at the risk profile of the business. To know the 3 risks we have identified for Guangdong Enpack Packaging visit our risks dashboard for free.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.