Stock Analysis

Guangzhou Tinci Materials Technology Co., Ltd.'s (SZSE:002709) Stock On An Uptrend: Could Fundamentals Be Driving The Momentum?

SZSE:002709
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Guangzhou Tinci Materials Technology (SZSE:002709) has had a great run on the share market with its stock up by a significant 32% over the last month. As most would know, fundamentals are what usually guide market price movements over the long-term, so we decided to look at the company's key financial indicators today to determine if they have any role to play in the recent price movement. Particularly, we will be paying attention to Guangzhou Tinci Materials Technology's ROE today.

ROE or return on equity is a useful tool to assess how effectively a company can generate returns on the investment it received from its shareholders. Put another way, it reveals the company's success at turning shareholder investments into profits.

See our latest analysis for Guangzhou Tinci Materials Technology

How Is ROE Calculated?

The formula for return on equity is:

Return on Equity = Net Profit (from continuing operations) Ă· Shareholders' Equity

So, based on the above formula, the ROE for Guangzhou Tinci Materials Technology is:

6.4% = CN„850m ÷ CN„13b (Based on the trailing twelve months to June 2024).

The 'return' is the profit over the last twelve months. Another way to think of that is that for every CN„1 worth of equity, the company was able to earn CN„0.06 in profit.

What Has ROE Got To Do With Earnings Growth?

We have already established that ROE serves as an efficient profit-generating gauge for a company's future earnings. We now need to evaluate how much profit the company reinvests or "retains" for future growth which then gives us an idea about the growth potential of the company. Assuming all else is equal, companies that have both a higher return on equity and higher profit retention are usually the ones that have a higher growth rate when compared to companies that don't have the same features.

Guangzhou Tinci Materials Technology's Earnings Growth And 6.4% ROE

At first glance, Guangzhou Tinci Materials Technology's ROE doesn't look very promising. However, its ROE is similar to the industry average of 6.4%, so we won't completely dismiss the company. Looking at Guangzhou Tinci Materials Technology's exceptional 37% five-year net income growth in particular, we are definitely impressed. Given the slightly low ROE, it is likely that there could be some other aspects that are driving this growth. For example, it is possible that the company's management has made some good strategic decisions, or that the company has a low payout ratio.

As a next step, we compared Guangzhou Tinci Materials Technology's net income growth with the industry, and pleasingly, we found that the growth seen by the company is higher than the average industry growth of 6.3%.

past-earnings-growth
SZSE:002709 Past Earnings Growth October 22nd 2024

Earnings growth is an important metric to consider when valuing a stock. What investors need to determine next is if the expected earnings growth, or the lack of it, is already built into the share price. By doing so, they will have an idea if the stock is headed into clear blue waters or if swampy waters await. If you're wondering about Guangzhou Tinci Materials Technology's's valuation, check out this gauge of its price-to-earnings ratio, as compared to its industry.

Is Guangzhou Tinci Materials Technology Using Its Retained Earnings Effectively?

Guangzhou Tinci Materials Technology's ' three-year median payout ratio is on the lower side at 21% implying that it is retaining a higher percentage (79%) of its profits. So it seems like the management is reinvesting profits heavily to grow its business and this reflects in its earnings growth number.

Moreover, Guangzhou Tinci Materials Technology is determined to keep sharing its profits with shareholders which we infer from its long history of paying a dividend for at least ten years. Based on the latest analysts' estimates, we found that the company's future payout ratio over the next three years is expected to hold steady at 24%. However, Guangzhou Tinci Materials Technology's ROE is predicted to rise to 12% despite there being no anticipated change in its payout ratio.

Conclusion

Overall, we feel that Guangzhou Tinci Materials Technology certainly does have some positive factors to consider. With a high rate of reinvestment, albeit at a low ROE, the company has managed to see a considerable growth in its earnings. We also studied the latest analyst forecasts and found that the company's earnings growth is expected be similar to its current growth rate. To know more about the latest analysts predictions for the company, check out this visualization of analyst forecasts for the company.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.