There's Reason For Concern Over Jiangsu AMER New Material Co., Ltd.'s (SZSE:002201) Price
With a median price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of close to 2x in the Chemicals industry in China, you could be forgiven for feeling indifferent about Jiangsu AMER New Material Co., Ltd.'s (SZSE:002201) P/S ratio, which comes in at about the same. However, investors might be overlooking a clear opportunity or potential setback if there is no rational basis for the P/S.
View our latest analysis for Jiangsu AMER New Material
What Does Jiangsu AMER New Material's Recent Performance Look Like?
Revenue has risen firmly for Jiangsu AMER New Material recently, which is pleasing to see. One possibility is that the P/S is moderate because investors think this respectable revenue growth might not be enough to outperform the broader industry in the near future. Those who are bullish on Jiangsu AMER New Material will be hoping that this isn't the case, so that they can pick up the stock at a lower valuation.
Although there are no analyst estimates available for Jiangsu AMER New Material, take a look at this free data-rich visualisation to see how the company stacks up on earnings, revenue and cash flow.Do Revenue Forecasts Match The P/S Ratio?
The only time you'd be comfortable seeing a P/S like Jiangsu AMER New Material's is when the company's growth is tracking the industry closely.
Taking a look back first, we see that the company grew revenue by an impressive 19% last year. Although, its longer-term performance hasn't been as strong with three-year revenue growth being relatively non-existent overall. So it appears to us that the company has had a mixed result in terms of growing revenue over that time.
Comparing that to the industry, which is predicted to deliver 21% growth in the next 12 months, the company's momentum is weaker, based on recent medium-term annualised revenue results.
With this in mind, we find it intriguing that Jiangsu AMER New Material's P/S is comparable to that of its industry peers. It seems most investors are ignoring the fairly limited recent growth rates and are willing to pay up for exposure to the stock. They may be setting themselves up for future disappointment if the P/S falls to levels more in line with recent growth rates.
The Bottom Line On Jiangsu AMER New Material's P/S
We'd say the price-to-sales ratio's power isn't primarily as a valuation instrument but rather to gauge current investor sentiment and future expectations.
We've established that Jiangsu AMER New Material's average P/S is a bit surprising since its recent three-year growth is lower than the wider industry forecast. When we see weak revenue with slower than industry growth, we suspect the share price is at risk of declining, bringing the P/S back in line with expectations. Unless there is a significant improvement in the company's medium-term performance, it will be difficult to prevent the P/S ratio from declining to a more reasonable level.
Plus, you should also learn about this 1 warning sign we've spotted with Jiangsu AMER New Material.
If you're unsure about the strength of Jiangsu AMER New Material's business, why not explore our interactive list of stocks with solid business fundamentals for some other companies you may have missed.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About SZSE:002201
Jiangsu AMER New Material
Jiangsu Amer New Material Co., Ltd. produces and sells glass fiber yarn, fabrics, and FRP products in China.
Flawless balance sheet with solid track record.