Revenues Not Telling The Story For Guangdong Orient Zirconic Ind Sci & Tech Co.,Ltd (SZSE:002167) After Shares Rise 26%
Despite an already strong run, Guangdong Orient Zirconic Ind Sci & Tech Co.,Ltd (SZSE:002167) shares have been powering on, with a gain of 26% in the last thirty days. Looking further back, the 24% rise over the last twelve months isn't too bad notwithstanding the strength over the last 30 days.
Following the firm bounce in price, when almost half of the companies in China's Chemicals industry have price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") below 2.3x, you may consider Guangdong Orient Zirconic Ind Sci & TechLtd as a stock probably not worth researching with its 3.8x P/S ratio. However, the P/S might be high for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.
Check out our latest analysis for Guangdong Orient Zirconic Ind Sci & TechLtd
What Does Guangdong Orient Zirconic Ind Sci & TechLtd's P/S Mean For Shareholders?
Revenue has risen firmly for Guangdong Orient Zirconic Ind Sci & TechLtd recently, which is pleasing to see. One possibility is that the P/S ratio is high because investors think this respectable revenue growth will be enough to outperform the broader industry in the near future. You'd really hope so, otherwise you're paying a pretty hefty price for no particular reason.
Although there are no analyst estimates available for Guangdong Orient Zirconic Ind Sci & TechLtd, take a look at this free data-rich visualisation to see how the company stacks up on earnings, revenue and cash flow.How Is Guangdong Orient Zirconic Ind Sci & TechLtd's Revenue Growth Trending?
In order to justify its P/S ratio, Guangdong Orient Zirconic Ind Sci & TechLtd would need to produce impressive growth in excess of the industry.
Taking a look back first, we see that the company grew revenue by an impressive 15% last year. Pleasingly, revenue has also lifted 30% in aggregate from three years ago, thanks to the last 12 months of growth. Accordingly, shareholders would have definitely welcomed those medium-term rates of revenue growth.
Comparing the recent medium-term revenue trends against the industry's one-year growth forecast of 24% shows it's noticeably less attractive.
With this in mind, we find it worrying that Guangdong Orient Zirconic Ind Sci & TechLtd's P/S exceeds that of its industry peers. Apparently many investors in the company are way more bullish than recent times would indicate and aren't willing to let go of their stock at any price. Only the boldest would assume these prices are sustainable as a continuation of recent revenue trends is likely to weigh heavily on the share price eventually.
The Bottom Line On Guangdong Orient Zirconic Ind Sci & TechLtd's P/S
Guangdong Orient Zirconic Ind Sci & TechLtd shares have taken a big step in a northerly direction, but its P/S is elevated as a result. It's argued the price-to-sales ratio is an inferior measure of value within certain industries, but it can be a powerful business sentiment indicator.
Our examination of Guangdong Orient Zirconic Ind Sci & TechLtd revealed its poor three-year revenue trends aren't detracting from the P/S as much as we though, given they look worse than current industry expectations. When we observe slower-than-industry revenue growth alongside a high P/S ratio, we assume there to be a significant risk of the share price decreasing, which would result in a lower P/S ratio. Unless the recent medium-term conditions improve markedly, it's very challenging to accept these the share price as being reasonable.
Many other vital risk factors can be found on the company's balance sheet. Our free balance sheet analysis for Guangdong Orient Zirconic Ind Sci & TechLtd with six simple checks will allow you to discover any risks that could be an issue.
If companies with solid past earnings growth is up your alley, you may wish to see this free collection of other companies with strong earnings growth and low P/E ratios.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About SZSE:002167
Guangdong Orient Zirconic Ind Sci & TechLtd
Produces and sells zirconic products.
Excellent balance sheet and slightly overvalued.