Stock Analysis

The three-year shareholder returns and company earnings persist lower as Jiangsu Fasten (SZSE:000890) stock falls a further 11% in past week

Published
SZSE:000890

If you love investing in stocks you're bound to buy some losers. But the last three years have been particularly tough on longer term Jiangsu Fasten Company Limited (SZSE:000890) shareholders. Sadly for them, the share price is down 57% in that time. And the ride hasn't got any smoother in recent times over the last year, with the price 36% lower in that time. Furthermore, it's down 34% in about a quarter. That's not much fun for holders.

Since Jiangsu Fasten has shed CN¥134m from its value in the past 7 days, let's see if the longer term decline has been driven by the business' economics.

View our latest analysis for Jiangsu Fasten

We don't think that Jiangsu Fasten's modest trailing twelve month profit has the market's full attention at the moment. We think revenue is probably a better guide. As a general rule, we think this kind of company is more comparable to loss-making stocks, since the actual profit is so low. It would be hard to believe in a more profitable future without growing revenues.

In the last three years Jiangsu Fasten saw its revenue shrink by 5.3% per year. That's not what investors generally want to see. The share price decline of 16% compound, over three years, is understandable given the company doesn't have profits to boast of, and revenue is moving in the wrong direction. Of course, it's the future that will determine whether today's price is a good one. We don't generally like to own companies that lose money and can't grow revenues. But any company is worth looking at when it makes a maiden profit.

You can see below how earnings and revenue have changed over time (discover the exact values by clicking on the image).

SZSE:000890 Earnings and Revenue Growth June 5th 2024

You can see how its balance sheet has strengthened (or weakened) over time in this free interactive graphic.

A Different Perspective

While the broader market lost about 9.6% in the twelve months, Jiangsu Fasten shareholders did even worse, losing 36%. Having said that, it's inevitable that some stocks will be oversold in a falling market. The key is to keep your eyes on the fundamental developments. Unfortunately, last year's performance may indicate unresolved challenges, given that it was worse than the annualised loss of 9% over the last half decade. We realise that Baron Rothschild has said investors should "buy when there is blood on the streets", but we caution that investors should first be sure they are buying a high quality business. I find it very interesting to look at share price over the long term as a proxy for business performance. But to truly gain insight, we need to consider other information, too. Case in point: We've spotted 3 warning signs for Jiangsu Fasten you should be aware of, and 1 of them is significant.

If you would prefer to check out another company -- one with potentially superior financials -- then do not miss this free list of companies that have proven they can grow earnings.

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on Chinese exchanges.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.