Stock Analysis

Is ADAMA (SZSE:000553) Using Too Much Debt?

Published
SZSE:000553

Legendary fund manager Li Lu (who Charlie Munger backed) once said, 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' It's only natural to consider a company's balance sheet when you examine how risky it is, since debt is often involved when a business collapses. As with many other companies ADAMA Ltd. (SZSE:000553) makes use of debt. But the more important question is: how much risk is that debt creating?

Why Does Debt Bring Risk?

Generally speaking, debt only becomes a real problem when a company can't easily pay it off, either by raising capital or with its own cash flow. Part and parcel of capitalism is the process of 'creative destruction' where failed businesses are mercilessly liquidated by their bankers. However, a more usual (but still expensive) situation is where a company must dilute shareholders at a cheap share price simply to get debt under control. Having said that, the most common situation is where a company manages its debt reasonably well - and to its own advantage. When we think about a company's use of debt, we first look at cash and debt together.

View our latest analysis for ADAMA

What Is ADAMA's Debt?

The chart below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that ADAMA had CN¥18.6b in debt in September 2024; about the same as the year before. On the flip side, it has CN¥4.18b in cash leading to net debt of about CN¥14.4b.

SZSE:000553 Debt to Equity History January 24th 2025

A Look At ADAMA's Liabilities

Zooming in on the latest balance sheet data, we can see that ADAMA had liabilities of CN¥17.8b due within 12 months and liabilities of CN¥14.0b due beyond that. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of CN¥4.18b as well as receivables valued at CN¥8.66b due within 12 months. So its liabilities total CN¥18.9b more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.

Given this deficit is actually higher than the company's market capitalization of CN¥12.7b, we think shareholders really should watch ADAMA's debt levels, like a parent watching their child ride a bike for the first time. In the scenario where the company had to clean up its balance sheet quickly, it seems likely shareholders would suffer extensive dilution. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if ADAMA can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.

Over 12 months, ADAMA made a loss at the EBIT level, and saw its revenue drop to CN¥30b, which is a fall of 13%. That's not what we would hope to see.

Caveat Emptor

Not only did ADAMA's revenue slip over the last twelve months, but it also produced negative earnings before interest and tax (EBIT). Indeed, it lost CN¥136m at the EBIT level. Considering that alongside the liabilities mentioned above make us nervous about the company. It would need to improve its operations quickly for us to be interested in it. For example, we would not want to see a repeat of last year's loss of CN¥2.4b. And until that time we think this is a risky stock. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. Be aware that ADAMA is showing 2 warning signs in our investment analysis , you should know about...

Of course, if you're the type of investor who prefers buying stocks without the burden of debt, then don't hesitate to discover our exclusive list of net cash growth stocks, today.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.