Stock Analysis
Jilin Chemical Fibre StockLtd (SZSE:000420) May Have Issues Allocating Its Capital
Finding a business that has the potential to grow substantially is not easy, but it is possible if we look at a few key financial metrics. Firstly, we'll want to see a proven return on capital employed (ROCE) that is increasing, and secondly, an expanding base of capital employed. Basically this means that a company has profitable initiatives that it can continue to reinvest in, which is a trait of a compounding machine. However, after investigating Jilin Chemical Fibre StockLtd (SZSE:000420), we don't think it's current trends fit the mold of a multi-bagger.
What Is Return On Capital Employed (ROCE)?
For those who don't know, ROCE is a measure of a company's yearly pre-tax profit (its return), relative to the capital employed in the business. To calculate this metric for Jilin Chemical Fibre StockLtd, this is the formula:
Return on Capital Employed = Earnings Before Interest and Tax (EBIT) ÷ (Total Assets - Current Liabilities)
0.047 = CN¥270m ÷ (CN¥11b - CN¥5.1b) (Based on the trailing twelve months to September 2023).
Therefore, Jilin Chemical Fibre StockLtd has an ROCE of 4.7%. Even though it's in line with the industry average of 5.5%, it's still a low return by itself.
View our latest analysis for Jilin Chemical Fibre StockLtd
Above you can see how the current ROCE for Jilin Chemical Fibre StockLtd compares to its prior returns on capital, but there's only so much you can tell from the past. If you're interested, you can view the analysts predictions in our free analyst report for Jilin Chemical Fibre StockLtd .
So How Is Jilin Chemical Fibre StockLtd's ROCE Trending?
In terms of Jilin Chemical Fibre StockLtd's historical ROCE movements, the trend isn't fantastic. Around five years ago the returns on capital were 8.1%, but since then they've fallen to 4.7%. And considering revenue has dropped while employing more capital, we'd be cautious. If this were to continue, you might be looking at a company that is trying to reinvest for growth but is actually losing market share since sales haven't increased.
Another thing to note, Jilin Chemical Fibre StockLtd has a high ratio of current liabilities to total assets of 47%. This effectively means that suppliers (or short-term creditors) are funding a large portion of the business, so just be aware that this can introduce some elements of risk. Ideally we'd like to see this reduce as that would mean fewer obligations bearing risks.
The Bottom Line
In summary, we're somewhat concerned by Jilin Chemical Fibre StockLtd's diminishing returns on increasing amounts of capital. Yet despite these concerning fundamentals, the stock has performed strongly with a 75% return over the last five years, so investors appear very optimistic. Regardless, we don't feel too comfortable with the fundamentals so we'd be steering clear of this stock for now.
Since virtually every company faces some risks, it's worth knowing what they are, and we've spotted 2 warning signs for Jilin Chemical Fibre StockLtd (of which 1 shouldn't be ignored!) that you should know about.
If you want to search for solid companies with great earnings, check out this free list of companies with good balance sheets and impressive returns on equity.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About SZSE:000420
Jilin Chemical Fibre StockLtd
Produces and sells chemical fiber in China.