Stock Analysis
What Suzhou Nanomicro Technology Co., Ltd.'s (SHSE:688690) 28% Share Price Gain Is Not Telling You
Suzhou Nanomicro Technology Co., Ltd. (SHSE:688690) shareholders would be excited to see that the share price has had a great month, posting a 28% gain and recovering from prior weakness. Notwithstanding the latest gain, the annual share price return of 6.2% isn't as impressive.
After such a large jump in price, you could be forgiven for thinking Suzhou Nanomicro Technology is a stock to steer clear of with a price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") of 11.3x, considering almost half the companies in China's Chemicals industry have P/S ratios below 2.4x. However, the P/S might be quite high for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.
View our latest analysis for Suzhou Nanomicro Technology
How Has Suzhou Nanomicro Technology Performed Recently?
With revenue growth that's exceedingly strong of late, Suzhou Nanomicro Technology has been doing very well. It seems that many are expecting the strong revenue performance to beat most other companies over the coming period, which has increased investors’ willingness to pay up for the stock. You'd really hope so, otherwise you're paying a pretty hefty price for no particular reason.
We don't have analyst forecasts, but you can see how recent trends are setting up the company for the future by checking out our free report on Suzhou Nanomicro Technology's earnings, revenue and cash flow.Is There Enough Revenue Growth Forecasted For Suzhou Nanomicro Technology?
The only time you'd be truly comfortable seeing a P/S as steep as Suzhou Nanomicro Technology's is when the company's growth is on track to outshine the industry decidedly.
If we review the last year of revenue growth, the company posted a terrific increase of 33%. The strong recent performance means it was also able to grow revenue by 75% in total over the last three years. Accordingly, shareholders would have definitely welcomed those medium-term rates of revenue growth.
Comparing the recent medium-term revenue trends against the industry's one-year growth forecast of 25% shows it's noticeably less attractive.
With this in mind, we find it worrying that Suzhou Nanomicro Technology's P/S exceeds that of its industry peers. Apparently many investors in the company are way more bullish than recent times would indicate and aren't willing to let go of their stock at any price. Only the boldest would assume these prices are sustainable as a continuation of recent revenue trends is likely to weigh heavily on the share price eventually.
The Final Word
Shares in Suzhou Nanomicro Technology have seen a strong upwards swing lately, which has really helped boost its P/S figure. It's argued the price-to-sales ratio is an inferior measure of value within certain industries, but it can be a powerful business sentiment indicator.
Our examination of Suzhou Nanomicro Technology revealed its poor three-year revenue trends aren't detracting from the P/S as much as we though, given they look worse than current industry expectations. When we see slower than industry revenue growth but an elevated P/S, there's considerable risk of the share price declining, sending the P/S lower. Unless the recent medium-term conditions improve markedly, it's very challenging to accept these the share price as being reasonable.
Having said that, be aware Suzhou Nanomicro Technology is showing 1 warning sign in our investment analysis, you should know about.
If companies with solid past earnings growth is up your alley, you may wish to see this free collection of other companies with strong earnings growth and low P/E ratios.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About SHSE:688690
Suzhou Nanomicro Technology
Manufactures and supplies spherical, mono-disperse particles for various industries and applications worldwide.