Stock Analysis
GuiZhouYongJi Printing Co.,Ltd (SHSE:603058) Shares Fly 42% But Investors Aren't Buying For Growth
GuiZhouYongJi Printing Co.,Ltd (SHSE:603058) shareholders would be excited to see that the share price has had a great month, posting a 42% gain and recovering from prior weakness. Looking back a bit further, it's encouraging to see the stock is up 27% in the last year.
In spite of the firm bounce in price, GuiZhouYongJi PrintingLtd's price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 24.9x might still make it look like a buy right now compared to the market in China, where around half of the companies have P/E ratios above 34x and even P/E's above 66x are quite common. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the reduced P/E.
With earnings growth that's exceedingly strong of late, GuiZhouYongJi PrintingLtd has been doing very well. One possibility is that the P/E is low because investors think this strong earnings growth might actually underperform the broader market in the near future. If that doesn't eventuate, then existing shareholders have reason to be quite optimistic about the future direction of the share price.
View our latest analysis for GuiZhouYongJi PrintingLtd
Although there are no analyst estimates available for GuiZhouYongJi PrintingLtd, take a look at this free data-rich visualisation to see how the company stacks up on earnings, revenue and cash flow.Does Growth Match The Low P/E?
GuiZhouYongJi PrintingLtd's P/E ratio would be typical for a company that's only expected to deliver limited growth, and importantly, perform worse than the market.
Taking a look back first, we see that the company grew earnings per share by an impressive 48% last year. Despite this strong recent growth, it's still struggling to catch up as its three-year EPS frustratingly shrank by 9.3% overall. So unfortunately, we have to acknowledge that the company has not done a great job of growing earnings over that time.
In contrast to the company, the rest of the market is expected to grow by 37% over the next year, which really puts the company's recent medium-term earnings decline into perspective.
In light of this, it's understandable that GuiZhouYongJi PrintingLtd's P/E would sit below the majority of other companies. However, we think shrinking earnings are unlikely to lead to a stable P/E over the longer term, which could set up shareholders for future disappointment. There's potential for the P/E to fall to even lower levels if the company doesn't improve its profitability.
The Bottom Line On GuiZhouYongJi PrintingLtd's P/E
GuiZhouYongJi PrintingLtd's stock might have been given a solid boost, but its P/E certainly hasn't reached any great heights. Using the price-to-earnings ratio alone to determine if you should sell your stock isn't sensible, however it can be a practical guide to the company's future prospects.
As we suspected, our examination of GuiZhouYongJi PrintingLtd revealed its shrinking earnings over the medium-term are contributing to its low P/E, given the market is set to grow. Right now shareholders are accepting the low P/E as they concede future earnings probably won't provide any pleasant surprises. Unless the recent medium-term conditions improve, they will continue to form a barrier for the share price around these levels.
There are also other vital risk factors to consider and we've discovered 2 warning signs for GuiZhouYongJi PrintingLtd (1 is a bit unpleasant!) that you should be aware of before investing here.
You might be able to find a better investment than GuiZhouYongJi PrintingLtd. If you want a selection of possible candidates, check out this free list of interesting companies that trade on a low P/E (but have proven they can grow earnings).
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About SHSE:603058
GuiZhouYongJi PrintingLtd
Engages in the packaging and printing business in China and Australia.