Stock Analysis

Tangshan Sanyou Chemical Industries Co.,Ltd's (SHSE:600409) Financials Are Too Obscure To Link With Current Share Price Momentum: What's In Store For the Stock?

SHSE:600409
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Most readers would already be aware that Tangshan Sanyou Chemical IndustriesLtd's (SHSE:600409) stock increased significantly by 15% over the past three months. However, we decided to pay attention to the company's fundamentals which don't appear to give a clear sign about the company's financial health. Specifically, we decided to study Tangshan Sanyou Chemical IndustriesLtd's ROE in this article.

Return on Equity or ROE is a test of how effectively a company is growing its value and managing investors’ money. Put another way, it reveals the company's success at turning shareholder investments into profits.

Check out our latest analysis for Tangshan Sanyou Chemical IndustriesLtd

How To Calculate Return On Equity?

The formula for ROE is:

Return on Equity = Net Profit (from continuing operations) ÷ Shareholders' Equity

So, based on the above formula, the ROE for Tangshan Sanyou Chemical IndustriesLtd is:

7.1% = CN¥1.1b ÷ CN¥15b (Based on the trailing twelve months to March 2024).

The 'return' is the amount earned after tax over the last twelve months. One way to conceptualize this is that for each CN¥1 of shareholders' capital it has, the company made CN¥0.07 in profit.

What Has ROE Got To Do With Earnings Growth?

So far, we've learned that ROE is a measure of a company's profitability. Based on how much of its profits the company chooses to reinvest or "retain", we are then able to evaluate a company's future ability to generate profits. Assuming everything else remains unchanged, the higher the ROE and profit retention, the higher the growth rate of a company compared to companies that don't necessarily bear these characteristics.

A Side By Side comparison of Tangshan Sanyou Chemical IndustriesLtd's Earnings Growth And 7.1% ROE

At first glance, Tangshan Sanyou Chemical IndustriesLtd's ROE doesn't look very promising. However, given that the company's ROE is similar to the average industry ROE of 6.3%, we may spare it some thought. However, Tangshan Sanyou Chemical IndustriesLtd has seen a flattish net income growth over the past five years, which is not saying much. Remember, the company's ROE is not particularly great to begin with. So that could also be one of the reasons behind the company's flat growth in earnings.

As a next step, we compared Tangshan Sanyou Chemical IndustriesLtd's net income growth with the industry and discovered that the industry saw an average growth of 8.1% in the same period.

past-earnings-growth
SHSE:600409 Past Earnings Growth May 21st 2024

The basis for attaching value to a company is, to a great extent, tied to its earnings growth. The investor should try to establish if the expected growth or decline in earnings, whichever the case may be, is priced in. By doing so, they will have an idea if the stock is headed into clear blue waters or if swampy waters await. Is 600409 fairly valued? This infographic on the company's intrinsic value has everything you need to know.

Is Tangshan Sanyou Chemical IndustriesLtd Using Its Retained Earnings Effectively?

Despite having a moderate three-year median payout ratio of 33% (meaning the company retains67% of profits) in the last three-year period, Tangshan Sanyou Chemical IndustriesLtd's earnings growth was more or les flat. So there could be some other explanation in that regard. For instance, the company's business may be deteriorating.

In addition, Tangshan Sanyou Chemical IndustriesLtd has been paying dividends over a period of at least ten years suggesting that keeping up dividend payments is way more important to the management even if it comes at the cost of business growth.

Conclusion

Overall, we have mixed feelings about Tangshan Sanyou Chemical IndustriesLtd. Even though it appears to be retaining most of its profits, given the low ROE, investors may not be benefitting from all that reinvestment after all. The low earnings growth suggests our theory correct. Having said that, looking at current analyst estimates, we found that the company's earnings growth rate is expected to see a huge improvement. Are these analysts expectations based on the broad expectations for the industry, or on the company's fundamentals? Click here to be taken to our analyst's forecasts page for the company.

Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.

Discover if Tangshan Sanyou Chemical IndustriesLtd might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.