Stock Analysis

Zhejiang Longsheng Group Co.,Ltd's (SHSE:600352) Has Performed Well But Fundamentals Look Varied: Is There A Clear Direction For The Stock?

SHSE:600352
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Zhejiang Longsheng GroupLtd's (SHSE:600352) stock is up by 5.0% over the past month. However, the company's financials look a bit inconsistent and market outcomes are ultimately driven by long-term fundamentals, meaning that the stock could head in either direction. In this article, we decided to focus on Zhejiang Longsheng GroupLtd's ROE.

Return on Equity or ROE is a test of how effectively a company is growing its value and managing investors’ money. In simpler terms, it measures the profitability of a company in relation to shareholder's equity.

View our latest analysis for Zhejiang Longsheng GroupLtd

How To Calculate Return On Equity?

The formula for ROE is:

Return on Equity = Net Profit (from continuing operations) Ă· Shareholders' Equity

So, based on the above formula, the ROE for Zhejiang Longsheng GroupLtd is:

5.2% = CN„1.9b ÷ CN„37b (Based on the trailing twelve months to June 2024).

The 'return' is the yearly profit. One way to conceptualize this is that for each CN„1 of shareholders' capital it has, the company made CN„0.05 in profit.

What Has ROE Got To Do With Earnings Growth?

So far, we've learned that ROE is a measure of a company's profitability. We now need to evaluate how much profit the company reinvests or "retains" for future growth which then gives us an idea about the growth potential of the company. Assuming all else is equal, companies that have both a higher return on equity and higher profit retention are usually the ones that have a higher growth rate when compared to companies that don't have the same features.

A Side By Side comparison of Zhejiang Longsheng GroupLtd's Earnings Growth And 5.2% ROE

At first glance, Zhejiang Longsheng GroupLtd's ROE doesn't look very promising. However, its ROE is similar to the industry average of 6.4%, so we won't completely dismiss the company. But then again, Zhejiang Longsheng GroupLtd's five year net income shrunk at a rate of 23%. Remember, the company's ROE is a bit low to begin with. So that's what might be causing earnings growth to shrink.

So, as a next step, we compared Zhejiang Longsheng GroupLtd's performance against the industry and were disappointed to discover that while the company has been shrinking its earnings, the industry has been growing its earnings at a rate of 6.2% over the last few years.

past-earnings-growth
SHSE:600352 Past Earnings Growth September 23rd 2024

Earnings growth is an important metric to consider when valuing a stock. It’s important for an investor to know whether the market has priced in the company's expected earnings growth (or decline). Doing so will help them establish if the stock's future looks promising or ominous. One good indicator of expected earnings growth is the P/E ratio which determines the price the market is willing to pay for a stock based on its earnings prospects. So, you may want to check if Zhejiang Longsheng GroupLtd is trading on a high P/E or a low P/E, relative to its industry.

Is Zhejiang Longsheng GroupLtd Efficiently Re-investing Its Profits?

Looking at its three-year median payout ratio of 33% (or a retention ratio of 67%) which is pretty normal, Zhejiang Longsheng GroupLtd's declining earnings is rather baffling as one would expect to see a fair bit of growth when a company is retaining a good portion of its profits. It looks like there might be some other reasons to explain the lack in that respect. For example, the business could be in decline.

In addition, Zhejiang Longsheng GroupLtd has been paying dividends over a period of at least ten years suggesting that keeping up dividend payments is way more important to the management even if it comes at the cost of business growth.

Conclusion

In total, we're a bit ambivalent about Zhejiang Longsheng GroupLtd's performance. Even though it appears to be retaining most of its profits, given the low ROE, investors may not be benefitting from all that reinvestment after all. The low earnings growth suggests our theory correct. With that said, we studied the latest analyst forecasts and found that while the company has shrunk its earnings in the past, analysts expect its earnings to grow in the future. To know more about the latest analysts predictions for the company, check out this visualization of analyst forecasts for the company.

Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.

Discover if Zhejiang Longsheng GroupLtd might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.