Stock Analysis

Is Nanjing Iron & Steel Co., Ltd.'s (SHSE:600282) Recent Performance Underpinned By Weak Financials?

SHSE:600282
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Nanjing Iron & Steel (SHSE:600282) has had a rough month with its share price down 5.5%. Given that stock prices are usually driven by a company’s fundamentals over the long term, which in this case look pretty weak, we decided to study the company's key financial indicators. Particularly, we will be paying attention to Nanjing Iron & Steel's ROE today.

Return on equity or ROE is an important factor to be considered by a shareholder because it tells them how effectively their capital is being reinvested. Simply put, it is used to assess the profitability of a company in relation to its equity capital.

See our latest analysis for Nanjing Iron & Steel

How To Calculate Return On Equity?

ROE can be calculated by using the formula:

Return on Equity = Net Profit (from continuing operations) ÷ Shareholders' Equity

So, based on the above formula, the ROE for Nanjing Iron & Steel is:

8.0% = CN¥2.2b ÷ CN¥28b (Based on the trailing twelve months to September 2024).

The 'return' refers to a company's earnings over the last year. That means that for every CN¥1 worth of shareholders' equity, the company generated CN¥0.08 in profit.

What Has ROE Got To Do With Earnings Growth?

So far, we've learned that ROE is a measure of a company's profitability. Depending on how much of these profits the company reinvests or "retains", and how effectively it does so, we are then able to assess a company’s earnings growth potential. Assuming everything else remains unchanged, the higher the ROE and profit retention, the higher the growth rate of a company compared to companies that don't necessarily bear these characteristics.

A Side By Side comparison of Nanjing Iron & Steel's Earnings Growth And 8.0% ROE

When you first look at it, Nanjing Iron & Steel's ROE doesn't look that attractive. However, its ROE is similar to the industry average of 7.5%, so we won't completely dismiss the company. Having said that, Nanjing Iron & Steel's five year net income decline rate was 6.2%. Bear in mind, the company does have a slightly low ROE. So that's what might be causing earnings growth to shrink.

However, when we compared Nanjing Iron & Steel's growth with the industry we found that while the company's earnings have been shrinking, the industry has seen an earnings growth of 9.8% in the same period. This is quite worrisome.

past-earnings-growth
SHSE:600282 Past Earnings Growth November 24th 2024

The basis for attaching value to a company is, to a great extent, tied to its earnings growth. It’s important for an investor to know whether the market has priced in the company's expected earnings growth (or decline). This then helps them determine if the stock is placed for a bright or bleak future. If you're wondering about Nanjing Iron & Steel's's valuation, check out this gauge of its price-to-earnings ratio, as compared to its industry.

Is Nanjing Iron & Steel Efficiently Re-investing Its Profits?

With a high three-year median payout ratio of 71% (implying that 29% of the profits are retained), most of Nanjing Iron & Steel's profits are being paid to shareholders, which explains the company's shrinking earnings. With only very little left to reinvest into the business, growth in earnings is far from likely. Our risks dashboard should have the 2 risks we have identified for Nanjing Iron & Steel.

In addition, Nanjing Iron & Steel has been paying dividends over a period of seven years suggesting that keeping up dividend payments is preferred by the management even though earnings have been in decline.

Summary

Overall, we would be extremely cautious before making any decision on Nanjing Iron & Steel. As a result of its low ROE and lack of much reinvestment into the business, the company has seen a disappointing earnings growth rate. Having said that, looking at current analyst estimates, we found that the company's earnings growth rate is expected to see a huge improvement. To know more about the latest analysts predictions for the company, check out this visualization of analyst forecasts for the company.

Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.

Discover if Nanjing Iron & Steel might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.