Shandong Nanshan Aluminium Co.,Ltd.

SHSE:600219 Stock Report

Market Cap: CN¥44.6b

Shandong Nanshan AluminiumLtd Valuation

Is 600219 undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

3/6

Valuation Score 3/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of 600219 when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: 600219 (CN¥3.88) is trading above our estimate of fair value (CN¥3.5)

Significantly Below Fair Value: 600219 is trading above our estimate of fair value.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for 600219?

Other financial metrics that can be useful for relative valuation.

600219 key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenue1x
Enterprise Value/EBITDA5.2x
PEG Ratio2.8x

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does 600219's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for 600219 vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average14.2x
000807 Yunnan Aluminium
11.3x10.1%CN¥46.9b
002532 Tianshan Aluminum GroupLtd
15.9x16.9%CN¥37.5b
601702 Shanghai Huafon Aluminium
18.6xn/aCN¥18.2b
601677 Henan Mingtai Al.IndustrialLtd
11x11.9%CN¥14.4b
600219 Shandong Nanshan AluminiumLtd
11.9x4.3%CN¥44.6b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: 600219 is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (11.9x) compared to the peer average (14.2x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does 600219's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the CN Metals and Mining Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a24.0%
n/an/an/a
No. of CompaniesPE048121620

Fetching data

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a24.0%
n/an/an/a
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: 600219 is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (11.9x) compared to the CN Metals and Mining industry average (25.5x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is 600219's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

600219 PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio11.9x
Fair PE Ratio15.1x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: 600219 is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (11.9x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (15.1x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst 600219 forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentCN¥3.88
CN¥4.35
+12.0%
3.6%CN¥4.50CN¥4.19n/a2
Jun ’25CN¥3.85
CN¥4.35
+12.9%
3.6%CN¥4.50CN¥4.19n/a2
May ’25CN¥3.58
CN¥4.20
+17.2%
0.1%CN¥4.20CN¥4.19n/a2
Apr ’25CN¥3.45
CN¥4.15
+20.1%
1.1%CN¥4.19CN¥4.10n/a2
Mar ’25CN¥3.12
CN¥4.15
+32.9%
1.1%CN¥4.19CN¥4.10n/a2
Feb ’25CN¥2.90
CN¥4.15
+42.9%
1.1%CN¥4.19CN¥4.10n/a2
Jan ’25CN¥2.94
CN¥4.15
+41.0%
1.1%CN¥4.19CN¥4.10n/a2
Dec ’24CN¥2.89
CN¥3.97
+37.5%
6.2%CN¥4.19CN¥3.63n/a3
Nov ’24CN¥3.12
CN¥3.97
+27.4%
6.2%CN¥4.19CN¥3.63n/a3
Oct ’24CN¥3.14
CN¥3.97
+26.5%
6.2%CN¥4.19CN¥3.63n/a3
Sep ’24CN¥3.19
CN¥4.53
+42.1%
15.3%CN¥5.55CN¥3.63n/a5
Aug ’24CN¥3.27
CN¥4.53
+38.7%
15.3%CN¥5.55CN¥3.63n/a5
Jul ’24CN¥3.02
CN¥4.53
+50.1%
15.3%CN¥5.55CN¥3.63CN¥3.885
Jun ’24CN¥3.03
CN¥4.59
+51.6%
14.7%CN¥5.55CN¥3.63CN¥3.855
May ’24CN¥3.39
CN¥4.75
+40.2%
15.7%CN¥5.55CN¥3.63CN¥3.585
Apr ’24CN¥3.39
CN¥4.71
+38.9%
17.3%CN¥5.55CN¥3.41CN¥3.455
Mar ’24CN¥3.68
CN¥4.71
+28.0%
17.3%CN¥5.55CN¥3.41CN¥3.125
Feb ’24CN¥3.70
CN¥4.50
+21.6%
17.4%CN¥5.50CN¥3.41CN¥2.904
Jan ’24CN¥3.27
CN¥4.50
+37.6%
17.4%CN¥5.50CN¥3.41CN¥2.944
Dec ’23CN¥3.59
CN¥4.50
+25.3%
17.4%CN¥5.50CN¥3.41CN¥2.894
Nov ’23CN¥3.16
CN¥4.97
+57.2%
23.5%CN¥6.84CN¥3.41CN¥3.125
Oct ’23CN¥3.01
CN¥5.28
+75.5%
21.1%CN¥6.84CN¥3.88CN¥3.145
Sep ’23CN¥3.37
CN¥5.22
+55.0%
21.8%CN¥6.84CN¥3.88CN¥3.195
Aug ’23CN¥3.69
CN¥5.33
+44.5%
19.3%CN¥6.84CN¥4.42CN¥3.275
Jul ’23CN¥3.60
CN¥5.51
+53.1%
17.4%CN¥6.84CN¥4.42CN¥3.025

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.


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