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Investor Optimism Abounds Shanghai Prosolar Resources Development Co., Ltd (SHSE:600193) But Growth Is Lacking
When you see that almost half of the companies in the Metals and Mining industry in China have price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") below 1.1x, Shanghai Prosolar Resources Development Co., Ltd (SHSE:600193) looks to be giving off strong sell signals with its 11.8x P/S ratio. However, the P/S might be quite high for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.
See our latest analysis for Shanghai Prosolar Resources Development
What Does Shanghai Prosolar Resources Development's P/S Mean For Shareholders?
As an illustration, revenue has deteriorated at Shanghai Prosolar Resources Development over the last year, which is not ideal at all. It might be that many expect the company to still outplay most other companies over the coming period, which has kept the P/S from collapsing. You'd really hope so, otherwise you're paying a pretty hefty price for no particular reason.
Although there are no analyst estimates available for Shanghai Prosolar Resources Development, take a look at this free data-rich visualisation to see how the company stacks up on earnings, revenue and cash flow.Do Revenue Forecasts Match The High P/S Ratio?
In order to justify its P/S ratio, Shanghai Prosolar Resources Development would need to produce outstanding growth that's well in excess of the industry.
Retrospectively, the last year delivered a frustrating 50% decrease to the company's top line. As a result, revenue from three years ago have also fallen 91% overall. Accordingly, shareholders would have felt downbeat about the medium-term rates of revenue growth.
Weighing that medium-term revenue trajectory against the broader industry's one-year forecast for expansion of 13% shows it's an unpleasant look.
With this information, we find it concerning that Shanghai Prosolar Resources Development is trading at a P/S higher than the industry. It seems most investors are ignoring the recent poor growth rate and are hoping for a turnaround in the company's business prospects. Only the boldest would assume these prices are sustainable as a continuation of recent revenue trends is likely to weigh heavily on the share price eventually.
The Bottom Line On Shanghai Prosolar Resources Development's P/S
It's argued the price-to-sales ratio is an inferior measure of value within certain industries, but it can be a powerful business sentiment indicator.
Our examination of Shanghai Prosolar Resources Development revealed its shrinking revenue over the medium-term isn't resulting in a P/S as low as we expected, given the industry is set to grow. Right now we aren't comfortable with the high P/S as this revenue performance is highly unlikely to support such positive sentiment for long. Should recent medium-term revenue trends persist, it would pose a significant risk to existing shareholders' investments and prospective investors will have a hard time accepting the current value of the stock.
You should always think about risks. Case in point, we've spotted 1 warning sign for Shanghai Prosolar Resources Development you should be aware of.
Of course, profitable companies with a history of great earnings growth are generally safer bets. So you may wish to see this free collection of other companies that have reasonable P/E ratios and have grown earnings strongly.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About SHSE:600193
Shanghai Prosolar Resources Development
Provides interior decoration, infrastructure engineering, visual design services for building construction, and sale of supporting products for the curtain wall and door and window projects in China.
Excellent balance sheet very low.