Stock Analysis
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Earnings Working Against Huadong Medicine Co., Ltd's (SZSE:000963) Share Price
When close to half the companies in China have price-to-earnings ratios (or "P/E's") above 29x, you may consider Huadong Medicine Co., Ltd (SZSE:000963) as an attractive investment with its 17.2x P/E ratio. However, the P/E might be low for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.
Huadong Medicine certainly has been doing a good job lately as it's been growing earnings more than most other companies. One possibility is that the P/E is low because investors think this strong earnings performance might be less impressive moving forward. If not, then existing shareholders have reason to be quite optimistic about the future direction of the share price.
See our latest analysis for Huadong Medicine
Does Growth Match The Low P/E?
The only time you'd be truly comfortable seeing a P/E as low as Huadong Medicine's is when the company's growth is on track to lag the market.
Taking a look back first, we see that the company grew earnings per share by an impressive 15% last year. EPS has also lifted 21% in aggregate from three years ago, mostly thanks to the last 12 months of growth. So we can start by confirming that the company has actually done a good job of growing earnings over that time.
Looking ahead now, EPS is anticipated to climb by 19% each year during the coming three years according to the analysts following the company. With the market predicted to deliver 24% growth per year, the company is positioned for a weaker earnings result.
With this information, we can see why Huadong Medicine is trading at a P/E lower than the market. Apparently many shareholders weren't comfortable holding on while the company is potentially eyeing a less prosperous future.
The Key Takeaway
We'd say the price-to-earnings ratio's power isn't primarily as a valuation instrument but rather to gauge current investor sentiment and future expectations.
We've established that Huadong Medicine maintains its low P/E on the weakness of its forecast growth being lower than the wider market, as expected. Right now shareholders are accepting the low P/E as they concede future earnings probably won't provide any pleasant surprises. Unless these conditions improve, they will continue to form a barrier for the share price around these levels.
You always need to take note of risks, for example - Huadong Medicine has 1 warning sign we think you should be aware of.
Of course, you might also be able to find a better stock than Huadong Medicine. So you may wish to see this free collection of other companies that have reasonable P/E ratios and have grown earnings strongly.
Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.
Discover if Huadong Medicine might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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About SZSE:000963
Huadong Medicine
Produces and sells various pharmaceutical products in China.