Stock Analysis
Subdued Growth No Barrier To HUANLEJIA Food Group CO.,Ltd (SZSE:300997) With Shares Advancing 28%
HUANLEJIA Food Group CO.,Ltd (SZSE:300997) shares have continued their recent momentum with a 28% gain in the last month alone. Notwithstanding the latest gain, the annual share price return of 6.8% isn't as impressive.
In spite of the firm bounce in price, it's still not a stretch to say that HUANLEJIA Food GroupLtd's price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 34.4x right now seems quite "middle-of-the-road" compared to the market in China, where the median P/E ratio is around 35x. Although, it's not wise to simply ignore the P/E without explanation as investors may be disregarding a distinct opportunity or a costly mistake.
With earnings that are retreating more than the market's of late, HUANLEJIA Food GroupLtd has been very sluggish. One possibility is that the P/E is moderate because investors think the company's earnings trend will eventually fall in line with most others in the market. You'd much rather the company wasn't bleeding earnings if you still believe in the business. If not, then existing shareholders may be a little nervous about the viability of the share price.
Check out our latest analysis for HUANLEJIA Food GroupLtd
If you'd like to see what analysts are forecasting going forward, you should check out our free report on HUANLEJIA Food GroupLtd.What Are Growth Metrics Telling Us About The P/E?
There's an inherent assumption that a company should be matching the market for P/E ratios like HUANLEJIA Food GroupLtd's to be considered reasonable.
If we review the last year of earnings, dishearteningly the company's profits fell to the tune of 27%. This means it has also seen a slide in earnings over the longer-term as EPS is down 9.4% in total over the last three years. Accordingly, shareholders would have felt downbeat about the medium-term rates of earnings growth.
Looking ahead now, EPS is anticipated to climb by 10% during the coming year according to the dual analysts following the company. That's shaping up to be materially lower than the 39% growth forecast for the broader market.
In light of this, it's curious that HUANLEJIA Food GroupLtd's P/E sits in line with the majority of other companies. It seems most investors are ignoring the fairly limited growth expectations and are willing to pay up for exposure to the stock. These shareholders may be setting themselves up for future disappointment if the P/E falls to levels more in line with the growth outlook.
What We Can Learn From HUANLEJIA Food GroupLtd's P/E?
Its shares have lifted substantially and now HUANLEJIA Food GroupLtd's P/E is also back up to the market median. While the price-to-earnings ratio shouldn't be the defining factor in whether you buy a stock or not, it's quite a capable barometer of earnings expectations.
We've established that HUANLEJIA Food GroupLtd currently trades on a higher than expected P/E since its forecast growth is lower than the wider market. When we see a weak earnings outlook with slower than market growth, we suspect the share price is at risk of declining, sending the moderate P/E lower. Unless these conditions improve, it's challenging to accept these prices as being reasonable.
You always need to take note of risks, for example - HUANLEJIA Food GroupLtd has 2 warning signs we think you should be aware of.
If you're unsure about the strength of HUANLEJIA Food GroupLtd's business, why not explore our interactive list of stocks with solid business fundamentals for some other companies you may have missed.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About SZSE:300997
HUANLEJIA Food GroupLtd
Engages in the research and development, production, and sale of canned food and beverages in China.