Stock Analysis
Panda Dairy Corporation (SZSE:300898) Surges 31% Yet Its Low P/E Is No Reason For Excitement
Panda Dairy Corporation (SZSE:300898) shares have had a really impressive month, gaining 31% after a shaky period beforehand. The bad news is that even after the stocks recovery in the last 30 days, shareholders are still underwater by about 9.4% over the last year.
Although its price has surged higher, given about half the companies in China have price-to-earnings ratios (or "P/E's") above 32x, you may still consider Panda Dairy as an attractive investment with its 23.3x P/E ratio. However, the P/E might be low for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.
Panda Dairy certainly has been doing a good job lately as its earnings growth has been positive while most other companies have been seeing their earnings go backwards. One possibility is that the P/E is low because investors think the company's earnings are going to fall away like everyone else's soon. If you like the company, you'd be hoping this isn't the case so that you could potentially pick up some stock while it's out of favour.
View our latest analysis for Panda Dairy
If you'd like to see what analysts are forecasting going forward, you should check out our free report on Panda Dairy.How Is Panda Dairy's Growth Trending?
In order to justify its P/E ratio, Panda Dairy would need to produce sluggish growth that's trailing the market.
Taking a look back first, we see that the company grew earnings per share by an impressive 42% last year. Still, incredibly EPS has fallen 6.0% in total from three years ago, which is quite disappointing. Accordingly, shareholders would have felt downbeat about the medium-term rates of earnings growth.
Looking ahead now, EPS is anticipated to climb by 8.8% per year during the coming three years according to the only analyst following the company. Meanwhile, the rest of the market is forecast to expand by 19% per year, which is noticeably more attractive.
In light of this, it's understandable that Panda Dairy's P/E sits below the majority of other companies. Apparently many shareholders weren't comfortable holding on while the company is potentially eyeing a less prosperous future.
What We Can Learn From Panda Dairy's P/E?
Panda Dairy's stock might have been given a solid boost, but its P/E certainly hasn't reached any great heights. We'd say the price-to-earnings ratio's power isn't primarily as a valuation instrument but rather to gauge current investor sentiment and future expectations.
As we suspected, our examination of Panda Dairy's analyst forecasts revealed that its inferior earnings outlook is contributing to its low P/E. Right now shareholders are accepting the low P/E as they concede future earnings probably won't provide any pleasant surprises. It's hard to see the share price rising strongly in the near future under these circumstances.
It is also worth noting that we have found 1 warning sign for Panda Dairy that you need to take into consideration.
If you're unsure about the strength of Panda Dairy's business, why not explore our interactive list of stocks with solid business fundamentals for some other companies you may have missed.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About SZSE:300898
Panda Dairy
Engages in the research and development, production, and sale of dairy products in China and internationally.