Stock Analysis

We Think Three Squirrels (SZSE:300783) Can Manage Its Debt With Ease

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SZSE:300783

The external fund manager backed by Berkshire Hathaway's Charlie Munger, Li Lu, makes no bones about it when he says 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' So it seems the smart money knows that debt - which is usually involved in bankruptcies - is a very important factor, when you assess how risky a company is. Importantly, Three Squirrels Inc. (SZSE:300783) does carry debt. But should shareholders be worried about its use of debt?

Why Does Debt Bring Risk?

Debt is a tool to help businesses grow, but if a business is incapable of paying off its lenders, then it exists at their mercy. Ultimately, if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt, shareholders could walk away with nothing. However, a more frequent (but still costly) occurrence is where a company must issue shares at bargain-basement prices, permanently diluting shareholders, just to shore up its balance sheet. By replacing dilution, though, debt can be an extremely good tool for businesses that need capital to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about a company's use of debt, we first look at cash and debt together.

Check out our latest analysis for Three Squirrels

How Much Debt Does Three Squirrels Carry?

As you can see below, Three Squirrels had CN¥492.6m of debt, at June 2024, which is about the same as the year before. You can click the chart for greater detail. But it also has CN¥1.89b in cash to offset that, meaning it has CN¥1.40b net cash.

SZSE:300783 Debt to Equity History October 16th 2024

How Strong Is Three Squirrels' Balance Sheet?

We can see from the most recent balance sheet that Three Squirrels had liabilities of CN¥1.49b falling due within a year, and liabilities of CN¥254.1m due beyond that. Offsetting this, it had CN¥1.89b in cash and CN¥459.6m in receivables that were due within 12 months. So it actually has CN¥605.8m more liquid assets than total liabilities.

This short term liquidity is a sign that Three Squirrels could probably pay off its debt with ease, as its balance sheet is far from stretched. Succinctly put, Three Squirrels boasts net cash, so it's fair to say it does not have a heavy debt load!

On top of that, Three Squirrels grew its EBIT by 90% over the last twelve months, and that growth will make it easier to handle its debt. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine Three Squirrels's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.

But our final consideration is also important, because a company cannot pay debt with paper profits; it needs cold hard cash. While Three Squirrels has net cash on its balance sheet, it's still worth taking a look at its ability to convert earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) to free cash flow, to help us understand how quickly it is building (or eroding) that cash balance. During the last three years, Three Squirrels generated free cash flow amounting to a very robust 86% of its EBIT, more than we'd expect. That positions it well to pay down debt if desirable to do so.

Summing Up

While we empathize with investors who find debt concerning, you should keep in mind that Three Squirrels has net cash of CN¥1.40b, as well as more liquid assets than liabilities. The cherry on top was that in converted 86% of that EBIT to free cash flow, bringing in -CN¥24m. So we don't think Three Squirrels's use of debt is risky. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. Case in point: We've spotted 3 warning signs for Three Squirrels you should be aware of, and 1 of them is a bit concerning.

If, after all that, you're more interested in a fast growing company with a rock-solid balance sheet, then check out our list of net cash growth stocks without delay.

Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.

Discover if Three Squirrels might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.