Xinjiang Western Animal Husbandry Co., Ltd's (SZSE:300106) Shares Climb 40% But Its Business Is Yet to Catch Up

Despite an already strong run, Xinjiang Western Animal Husbandry Co., Ltd (SZSE:300106) shares have been powering on, with a gain of 40% in the last thirty days. While recent buyers may be laughing, long-term holders might not be as pleased since the recent gain only brings the stock back to where it started a year ago.

In spite of the firm bounce in price, it's still not a stretch to say that Xinjiang Western Animal Husbandry's price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 2x right now seems quite "middle-of-the-road" compared to the Food industry in China, where the median P/S ratio is around 1.7x. Although, it's not wise to simply ignore the P/S without explanation as investors may be disregarding a distinct opportunity or a costly mistake.

View our latest analysis for Xinjiang Western Animal Husbandry

How Xinjiang Western Animal Husbandry Has Been Performing

For instance, Xinjiang Western Animal Husbandry's receding revenue in recent times would have to be some food for thought. It might be that many expect the company to put the disappointing revenue performance behind them over the coming period, which has kept the P/S from falling. If not, then existing shareholders may be a little nervous about the viability of the share price.

Although there are no analyst estimates available for Xinjiang Western Animal Husbandry, take a look at this free data-rich visualisation to see how the company stacks up on earnings, revenue and cash flow.

How Is Xinjiang Western Animal Husbandry's Revenue Growth Trending?

Xinjiang Western Animal Husbandry's P/S ratio would be typical for a company that's only expected to deliver moderate growth, and importantly, perform in line with the industry.

In reviewing the last year of financials, we were disheartened to see the company's revenues fell to the tune of 21%. This has erased any of its gains during the last three years, with practically no change in revenue being achieved in total. So it appears to us that the company has had a mixed result in terms of growing revenue over that time.

This is in contrast to the rest of the industry, which is expected to grow by 16% over the next year, materially higher than the company's recent medium-term annualised growth rates.

With this in mind, we find it intriguing that Xinjiang Western Animal Husbandry's P/S is comparable to that of its industry peers. Apparently many investors in the company are less bearish than recent times would indicate and aren't willing to let go of their stock right now. Maintaining these prices will be difficult to achieve as a continuation of recent revenue trends is likely to weigh down the shares eventually.

The Bottom Line On Xinjiang Western Animal Husbandry's P/S

Its shares have lifted substantially and now Xinjiang Western Animal Husbandry's P/S is back within range of the industry median. While the price-to-sales ratio shouldn't be the defining factor in whether you buy a stock or not, it's quite a capable barometer of revenue expectations.

Our examination of Xinjiang Western Animal Husbandry revealed its poor three-year revenue trends aren't resulting in a lower P/S as per our expectations, given they look worse than current industry outlook. Right now we are uncomfortable with the P/S as this revenue performance isn't likely to support a more positive sentiment for long. If recent medium-term revenue trends continue, the probability of a share price decline will become quite substantial, placing shareholders at risk.

Having said that, be aware Xinjiang Western Animal Husbandry is showing 2 warning signs in our investment analysis, you should know about.

If companies with solid past earnings growth is up your alley, you may wish to see this free collection of other companies with strong earnings growth and low P/E ratios.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.