Stock Analysis

Insiders the biggest winners as New Hope Dairy Co., Ltd.'s (SZSE:002946) market cap rises to CN¥9.9b

Published
SZSE:002946

Key Insights

  • New Hope Dairy's significant insider ownership suggests inherent interests in company's expansion
  • Chang Liu owns 65% of the company
  • Using data from analyst forecasts alongside ownership research, one can better assess the future performance of a company

If you want to know who really controls New Hope Dairy Co., Ltd. (SZSE:002946), then you'll have to look at the makeup of its share registry. The group holding the most number of shares in the company, around 83% to be precise, is individual insiders. In other words, the group stands to gain the most (or lose the most) from their investment into the company.

Clearly, insiders benefitted the most after the company's market cap rose by CN¥646m last week.

Let's delve deeper into each type of owner of New Hope Dairy, beginning with the chart below.

See our latest analysis for New Hope Dairy

SZSE:002946 Ownership Breakdown October 25th 2024

What Does The Institutional Ownership Tell Us About New Hope Dairy?

Institutions typically measure themselves against a benchmark when reporting to their own investors, so they often become more enthusiastic about a stock once it's included in a major index. We would expect most companies to have some institutions on the register, especially if they are growing.

Institutions have a very small stake in New Hope Dairy. That indicates that the company is on the radar of some funds, but it isn't particularly popular with professional investors at the moment. If the company is growing earnings, that may indicate that it is just beginning to catch the attention of these deep-pocketed investors. It is not uncommon to see a big share price rise if multiple institutional investors are trying to buy into a stock at the same time. So check out the historic earnings trajectory, below, but keep in mind it's the future that counts most.

SZSE:002946 Earnings and Revenue Growth October 25th 2024

Hedge funds don't have many shares in New Hope Dairy. Our data shows that Chang Liu is the largest shareholder with 65% of shares outstanding. With such a huge stake in the ownership, we infer that they have significant control of the future of the company. In comparison, the second and third largest shareholders hold about 16% and 1.4% of the stock. Gang Xi, who is the third-largest shareholder, also happens to hold the title of Chairman of the Board.

While studying institutional ownership for a company can add value to your research, it is also a good practice to research analyst recommendations to get a deeper understand of a stock's expected performance. There are a reasonable number of analysts covering the stock, so it might be useful to find out their aggregate view on the future.

Insider Ownership Of New Hope Dairy

The definition of an insider can differ slightly between different countries, but members of the board of directors always count. Management ultimately answers to the board. However, it is not uncommon for managers to be executive board members, especially if they are a founder or the CEO.

Insider ownership is positive when it signals leadership are thinking like the true owners of the company. However, high insider ownership can also give immense power to a small group within the company. This can be negative in some circumstances.

Our information suggests that insiders own more than half of New Hope Dairy Co., Ltd.. This gives them effective control of the company. Given it has a market cap of CN¥9.9b, that means insiders have a whopping CN¥8.2b worth of shares in their own names. It is good to see this level of investment. You can check here to see if those insiders have been selling any of their shares.

General Public Ownership

The general public, who are usually individual investors, hold a 14% stake in New Hope Dairy. While this group can't necessarily call the shots, it can certainly have a real influence on how the company is run.

Next Steps:

While it is well worth considering the different groups that own a company, there are other factors that are even more important. For instance, we've identified 2 warning signs for New Hope Dairy that you should be aware of.

Ultimately the future is most important. You can access this free report on analyst forecasts for the company.

NB: Figures in this article are calculated using data from the last twelve months, which refer to the 12-month period ending on the last date of the month the financial statement is dated. This may not be consistent with full year annual report figures.

Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.

Discover if New Hope Dairy might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.