Stock Analysis

Jiangsu Yanghe Distillery Co., Ltd.'s (SZSE:002304) Stock Is Going Strong: Have Financials A Role To Play?

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SZSE:002304

Jiangsu Yanghe Distillery (SZSE:002304) has had a great run on the share market with its stock up by a significant 15% over the last month. As most would know, fundamentals are what usually guide market price movements over the long-term, so we decided to look at the company's key financial indicators today to determine if they have any role to play in the recent price movement. In this article, we decided to focus on Jiangsu Yanghe Distillery's ROE.

Return on equity or ROE is an important factor to be considered by a shareholder because it tells them how effectively their capital is being reinvested. In simpler terms, it measures the profitability of a company in relation to shareholder's equity.

Check out our latest analysis for Jiangsu Yanghe Distillery

How Do You Calculate Return On Equity?

Return on equity can be calculated by using the formula:

Return on Equity = Net Profit (from continuing operations) ÷ Shareholders' Equity

So, based on the above formula, the ROE for Jiangsu Yanghe Distillery is:

19% = CN¥10b ÷ CN¥53b (Based on the trailing twelve months to June 2024).

The 'return' refers to a company's earnings over the last year. One way to conceptualize this is that for each CN¥1 of shareholders' capital it has, the company made CN¥0.19 in profit.

What Is The Relationship Between ROE And Earnings Growth?

Thus far, we have learned that ROE measures how efficiently a company is generating its profits. Based on how much of its profits the company chooses to reinvest or "retain", we are then able to evaluate a company's future ability to generate profits. Assuming everything else remains unchanged, the higher the ROE and profit retention, the higher the growth rate of a company compared to companies that don't necessarily bear these characteristics.

A Side By Side comparison of Jiangsu Yanghe Distillery's Earnings Growth And 19% ROE

At first glance, Jiangsu Yanghe Distillery seems to have a decent ROE. And on comparing with the industry, we found that the the average industry ROE is similar at 17%. This probably goes some way in explaining Jiangsu Yanghe Distillery's moderate 7.5% growth over the past five years amongst other factors.

As a next step, we compared Jiangsu Yanghe Distillery's net income growth with the industry and were disappointed to see that the company's growth is lower than the industry average growth of 15% in the same period.

SZSE:002304 Past Earnings Growth October 22nd 2024

The basis for attaching value to a company is, to a great extent, tied to its earnings growth. The investor should try to establish if the expected growth or decline in earnings, whichever the case may be, is priced in. This then helps them determine if the stock is placed for a bright or bleak future. If you're wondering about Jiangsu Yanghe Distillery's's valuation, check out this gauge of its price-to-earnings ratio, as compared to its industry.

Is Jiangsu Yanghe Distillery Making Efficient Use Of Its Profits?

Jiangsu Yanghe Distillery has a significant three-year median payout ratio of 58%, meaning that it is left with only 42% to reinvest into its business. This implies that the company has been able to achieve decent earnings growth despite returning most of its profits to shareholders.

Moreover, Jiangsu Yanghe Distillery is determined to keep sharing its profits with shareholders which we infer from its long history of paying a dividend for at least ten years. Our latest analyst data shows that the future payout ratio of the company over the next three years is expected to be approximately 68%. Accordingly, forecasts suggest that Jiangsu Yanghe Distillery's future ROE will be 21% which is again, similar to the current ROE.

Summary

On the whole, we do feel that Jiangsu Yanghe Distillery has some positive attributes. Its earnings growth is decent, and the high ROE does contribute to that growth. However, investors could have benefitted even more from the high ROE, had the company been reinvesting more of its earnings. On studying current analyst estimates, we found that analysts expect the company to continue its recent growth streak. To know more about the latest analysts predictions for the company, check out this visualization of analyst forecasts for the company.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.