Stock Analysis
Does The Market Have A Low Tolerance For Jiahe Foods Industry Co., Ltd.'s (SHSE:605300) Mixed Fundamentals?
It is hard to get excited after looking at Jiahe Foods Industry's (SHSE:605300) recent performance, when its stock has declined 18% over the past month. We, however decided to study the company's financials to determine if they have got anything to do with the price decline. Stock prices are usually driven by a company’s financial performance over the long term, and therefore we decided to pay more attention to the company's financial performance. Particularly, we will be paying attention to Jiahe Foods Industry's ROE today.
Return on equity or ROE is a key measure used to assess how efficiently a company's management is utilizing the company's capital. In simpler terms, it measures the profitability of a company in relation to shareholder's equity.
See our latest analysis for Jiahe Foods Industry
How Is ROE Calculated?
Return on equity can be calculated by using the formula:
Return on Equity = Net Profit (from continuing operations) ÷ Shareholders' Equity
So, based on the above formula, the ROE for Jiahe Foods Industry is:
8.9% = CN¥191m ÷ CN¥2.1b (Based on the trailing twelve months to June 2024).
The 'return' refers to a company's earnings over the last year. Another way to think of that is that for every CN¥1 worth of equity, the company was able to earn CN¥0.09 in profit.
Why Is ROE Important For Earnings Growth?
So far, we've learned that ROE is a measure of a company's profitability. We now need to evaluate how much profit the company reinvests or "retains" for future growth which then gives us an idea about the growth potential of the company. Generally speaking, other things being equal, firms with a high return on equity and profit retention, have a higher growth rate than firms that don’t share these attributes.
Jiahe Foods Industry's Earnings Growth And 8.9% ROE
On the face of it, Jiahe Foods Industry's ROE is not much to talk about. However, given that the company's ROE is similar to the average industry ROE of 7.6%, we may spare it some thought. But Jiahe Foods Industry saw a five year net income decline of 3.5% over the past five years. Remember, the company's ROE is a bit low to begin with. So that's what might be causing earnings growth to shrink.
However, when we compared Jiahe Foods Industry's growth with the industry we found that while the company's earnings have been shrinking, the industry has seen an earnings growth of 2.5% in the same period. This is quite worrisome.
The basis for attaching value to a company is, to a great extent, tied to its earnings growth. What investors need to determine next is if the expected earnings growth, or the lack of it, is already built into the share price. Doing so will help them establish if the stock's future looks promising or ominous. One good indicator of expected earnings growth is the P/E ratio which determines the price the market is willing to pay for a stock based on its earnings prospects. So, you may want to check if Jiahe Foods Industry is trading on a high P/E or a low P/E, relative to its industry.
Is Jiahe Foods Industry Making Efficient Use Of Its Profits?
Despite having a normal three-year median payout ratio of 43% (where it is retaining 57% of its profits), Jiahe Foods Industry has seen a decline in earnings as we saw above. So there could be some other explanations in that regard. For instance, the company's business may be deteriorating.
In addition, Jiahe Foods Industry has been paying dividends over a period of three years suggesting that keeping up dividend payments is preferred by the management even though earnings have been in decline. Upon studying the latest analysts' consensus data, we found that the company is expected to keep paying out approximately 44% of its profits over the next three years. Regardless, Jiahe Foods Industry's ROE is speculated to decline to 6.6% despite there being no anticipated change in its payout ratio.
Conclusion
Overall, we have mixed feelings about Jiahe Foods Industry. While the company does have a high rate of profit retention, its low rate of return is probably hampering its earnings growth. Having said that, looking at current analyst estimates, we found that the company's earnings growth rate is expected to see a huge improvement. To know more about the company's future earnings growth forecasts take a look at this free report on analyst forecasts for the company to find out more.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About SHSE:605300
Jiahe Foods Industry
Manufactures and sells food ingredients in China and internationally.