Stock Analysis
There's Reason For Concern Over Shandong Huifa Foodstuff Co.,Ltd.'s (SHSE:603536) Massive 29% Price Jump
Despite an already strong run, Shandong Huifa Foodstuff Co.,Ltd. (SHSE:603536) shares have been powering on, with a gain of 29% in the last thirty days. Not all shareholders will be feeling jubilant, since the share price is still down a very disappointing 24% in the last twelve months.
Even after such a large jump in price, you could still be forgiven for feeling indifferent about Shandong Huifa FoodstuffLtd's P/S ratio of 1.4x, since the median price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio for the Food industry in China is also close to 1.9x. Although, it's not wise to simply ignore the P/S without explanation as investors may be disregarding a distinct opportunity or a costly mistake.
Check out our latest analysis for Shandong Huifa FoodstuffLtd
How Shandong Huifa FoodstuffLtd Has Been Performing
Revenue has risen firmly for Shandong Huifa FoodstuffLtd recently, which is pleasing to see. It might be that many expect the respectable revenue performance to wane, which has kept the P/S from rising. Those who are bullish on Shandong Huifa FoodstuffLtd will be hoping that this isn't the case, so that they can pick up the stock at a lower valuation.
Although there are no analyst estimates available for Shandong Huifa FoodstuffLtd, take a look at this free data-rich visualisation to see how the company stacks up on earnings, revenue and cash flow.What Are Revenue Growth Metrics Telling Us About The P/S?
There's an inherent assumption that a company should be matching the industry for P/S ratios like Shandong Huifa FoodstuffLtd's to be considered reasonable.
Retrospectively, the last year delivered a decent 13% gain to the company's revenues. The solid recent performance means it was also able to grow revenue by 19% in total over the last three years. Therefore, it's fair to say the revenue growth recently has been respectable for the company.
This is in contrast to the rest of the industry, which is expected to grow by 16% over the next year, materially higher than the company's recent medium-term annualised growth rates.
With this in mind, we find it intriguing that Shandong Huifa FoodstuffLtd's P/S is comparable to that of its industry peers. It seems most investors are ignoring the fairly limited recent growth rates and are willing to pay up for exposure to the stock. Maintaining these prices will be difficult to achieve as a continuation of recent revenue trends is likely to weigh down the shares eventually.
The Bottom Line On Shandong Huifa FoodstuffLtd's P/S
Shandong Huifa FoodstuffLtd's stock has a lot of momentum behind it lately, which has brought its P/S level with the rest of the industry. Typically, we'd caution against reading too much into price-to-sales ratios when settling on investment decisions, though it can reveal plenty about what other market participants think about the company.
Our examination of Shandong Huifa FoodstuffLtd revealed its poor three-year revenue trends aren't resulting in a lower P/S as per our expectations, given they look worse than current industry outlook. Right now we are uncomfortable with the P/S as this revenue performance isn't likely to support a more positive sentiment for long. Unless the recent medium-term conditions improve, it's hard to accept the current share price as fair value.
You need to take note of risks, for example - Shandong Huifa FoodstuffLtd has 2 warning signs (and 1 which shouldn't be ignored) we think you should know about.
If you're unsure about the strength of Shandong Huifa FoodstuffLtd's business, why not explore our interactive list of stocks with solid business fundamentals for some other companies you may have missed.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About SHSE:603536
Shandong Huifa FoodstuffLtd
Engages in the research and development, production, and sales of quick-frozen conditioning products in China and internationally.