Stock Analysis

Zhejiang Renzhi (SZSE:002629) Is In A Good Position To Deliver On Growth Plans

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SZSE:002629

Even when a business is losing money, it's possible for shareholders to make money if they buy a good business at the right price. For example, biotech and mining exploration companies often lose money for years before finding success with a new treatment or mineral discovery. But while history lauds those rare successes, those that fail are often forgotten; who remembers Pets.com?

Given this risk, we thought we'd take a look at whether Zhejiang Renzhi (SZSE:002629) shareholders should be worried about its cash burn. For the purposes of this article, cash burn is the annual rate at which an unprofitable company spends cash to fund its growth; its negative free cash flow. Let's start with an examination of the business' cash, relative to its cash burn.

See our latest analysis for Zhejiang Renzhi

How Long Is Zhejiang Renzhi's Cash Runway?

A cash runway is defined as the length of time it would take a company to run out of money if it kept spending at its current rate of cash burn. As at June 2024, Zhejiang Renzhi had cash of CN¥21m and no debt. Importantly, its cash burn was CN¥26m over the trailing twelve months. So it had a cash runway of approximately 10 months from June 2024. That's quite a short cash runway, indicating the company must either reduce its annual cash burn or replenish its cash. The image below shows how its cash balance has been changing over the last few years.

SZSE:002629 Debt to Equity History September 30th 2024

How Well Is Zhejiang Renzhi Growing?

Happily, Zhejiang Renzhi is travelling in the right direction when it comes to its cash burn, which is down 76% over the last year. And it could also show revenue growth of 3.4% in the same period. We think it is growing rather well, upon reflection. In reality, this article only makes a short study of the company's growth data. You can take a look at how Zhejiang Renzhi has developed its business over time by checking this visualization of its revenue and earnings history.

How Easily Can Zhejiang Renzhi Raise Cash?

Zhejiang Renzhi seems to be in a fairly good position, in terms of cash burn, but we still think it's worthwhile considering how easily it could raise more money if it wanted to. Issuing new shares, or taking on debt, are the most common ways for a listed company to raise more money for its business. Commonly, a business will sell new shares in itself to raise cash and drive growth. We can compare a company's cash burn to its market capitalisation to get a sense for how many new shares a company would have to issue to fund one year's operations.

Zhejiang Renzhi's cash burn of CN¥26m is about 2.9% of its CN¥887m market capitalisation. So it could almost certainly just borrow a little to fund another year's growth, or else easily raise the cash by issuing a few shares.

How Risky Is Zhejiang Renzhi's Cash Burn Situation?

Even though its cash runway makes us a little nervous, we are compelled to mention that we thought Zhejiang Renzhi's cash burn reduction was relatively promising. Cash burning companies are always on the riskier side of things, but after considering all of the factors discussed in this short piece, we're not too worried about its rate of cash burn. Taking a deeper dive, we've spotted 3 warning signs for Zhejiang Renzhi you should be aware of, and 1 of them is a bit concerning.

Of course, you might find a fantastic investment by looking elsewhere. So take a peek at this free list of companies with significant insider holdings, and this list of stocks growth stocks (according to analyst forecasts)

Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.

Discover if Zhejiang Renzhi might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.