Stock Analysis

Is Weakness In Shanxi Coking Coal Energy Group Co., Ltd. (SZSE:000983) Stock A Sign That The Market Could be Wrong Given Its Strong Financial Prospects?

Published
SZSE:000983

It is hard to get excited after looking at Shanxi Coking Coal Energy Group's (SZSE:000983) recent performance, when its stock has declined 21% over the past month. However, stock prices are usually driven by a company’s financial performance over the long term, which in this case looks quite promising. In this article, we decided to focus on Shanxi Coking Coal Energy Group's ROE.

Return on Equity or ROE is a test of how effectively a company is growing its value and managing investors’ money. In short, ROE shows the profit each dollar generates with respect to its shareholder investments.

Check out our latest analysis for Shanxi Coking Coal Energy Group

How Is ROE Calculated?

ROE can be calculated by using the formula:

Return on Equity = Net Profit (from continuing operations) ÷ Shareholders' Equity

So, based on the above formula, the ROE for Shanxi Coking Coal Energy Group is:

13% = CN¥6.4b ÷ CN¥50b (Based on the trailing twelve months to March 2024).

The 'return' is the profit over the last twelve months. That means that for every CN¥1 worth of shareholders' equity, the company generated CN¥0.13 in profit.

Why Is ROE Important For Earnings Growth?

Thus far, we have learned that ROE measures how efficiently a company is generating its profits. Based on how much of its profits the company chooses to reinvest or "retain", we are then able to evaluate a company's future ability to generate profits. Assuming everything else remains unchanged, the higher the ROE and profit retention, the higher the growth rate of a company compared to companies that don't necessarily bear these characteristics.

A Side By Side comparison of Shanxi Coking Coal Energy Group's Earnings Growth And 13% ROE

To begin with, Shanxi Coking Coal Energy Group seems to have a respectable ROE. Further, the company's ROE compares quite favorably to the industry average of 9.8%. This certainly adds some context to Shanxi Coking Coal Energy Group's exceptional 34% net income growth seen over the past five years. However, there could also be other causes behind this growth. For example, it is possible that the company's management has made some good strategic decisions, or that the company has a low payout ratio.

Next, on comparing with the industry net income growth, we found that Shanxi Coking Coal Energy Group's growth is quite high when compared to the industry average growth of 21% in the same period, which is great to see.

SZSE:000983 Past Earnings Growth July 13th 2024

Earnings growth is an important metric to consider when valuing a stock. What investors need to determine next is if the expected earnings growth, or the lack of it, is already built into the share price. Doing so will help them establish if the stock's future looks promising or ominous. Is Shanxi Coking Coal Energy Group fairly valued compared to other companies? These 3 valuation measures might help you decide.

Is Shanxi Coking Coal Energy Group Making Efficient Use Of Its Profits?

Shanxi Coking Coal Energy Group's significant three-year median payout ratio of 59% (where it is retaining only 41% of its income) suggests that the company has been able to achieve a high growth in earnings despite returning most of its income to shareholders.

Besides, Shanxi Coking Coal Energy Group has been paying dividends for at least ten years or more. This shows that the company is committed to sharing profits with its shareholders. Upon studying the latest analysts' consensus data, we found that the company's future payout ratio is expected to rise to 85% over the next three years. Despite the higher expected payout ratio, the company's ROE is not expected to change by much.

Summary

Overall, we are quite pleased with Shanxi Coking Coal Energy Group's performance. We are particularly impressed by the considerable earnings growth posted by the company, which was likely backed by its high ROE. While the company is paying out most of its earnings as dividends, it has been able to grow its earnings in spite of it, so that's probably a good sign. Having said that, the company's earnings growth is expected to slow down, as forecasted in the current analyst estimates. To know more about the latest analysts predictions for the company, check out this visualization of analyst forecasts for the company.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.