Stock Analysis

Hengtong Logistics Co., Ltd.'s (SHSE:603223) Stock Has Shown Weakness Lately But Financial Prospects Look Decent: Is The Market Wrong?

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SHSE:603223

It is hard to get excited after looking at Hengtong Logistics' (SHSE:603223) recent performance, when its stock has declined 17% over the past three months. However, stock prices are usually driven by a company’s financials over the long term, which in this case look pretty respectable. Particularly, we will be paying attention to Hengtong Logistics' ROE today.

Return on equity or ROE is a key measure used to assess how efficiently a company's management is utilizing the company's capital. In other words, it is a profitability ratio which measures the rate of return on the capital provided by the company's shareholders.

View our latest analysis for Hengtong Logistics

How Do You Calculate Return On Equity?

ROE can be calculated by using the formula:

Return on Equity = Net Profit (from continuing operations) ÷ Shareholders' Equity

So, based on the above formula, the ROE for Hengtong Logistics is:

3.1% = CN¥118m ÷ CN¥3.8b (Based on the trailing twelve months to March 2024).

The 'return' is the income the business earned over the last year. Another way to think of that is that for every CN¥1 worth of equity, the company was able to earn CN¥0.03 in profit.

Why Is ROE Important For Earnings Growth?

Thus far, we have learned that ROE measures how efficiently a company is generating its profits. Based on how much of its profits the company chooses to reinvest or "retain", we are then able to evaluate a company's future ability to generate profits. Generally speaking, other things being equal, firms with a high return on equity and profit retention, have a higher growth rate than firms that don’t share these attributes.

Hengtong Logistics' Earnings Growth And 3.1% ROE

It is quite clear that Hengtong Logistics' ROE is rather low. Even compared to the average industry ROE of 9.8%, the company's ROE is quite dismal. However, we we're pleasantly surprised to see that Hengtong Logistics grew its net income at a significant rate of 28% in the last five years. We reckon that there could be other factors at play here. For example, it is possible that the company's management has made some good strategic decisions, or that the company has a low payout ratio.

As a next step, we compared Hengtong Logistics' net income growth with the industry, and pleasingly, we found that the growth seen by the company is higher than the average industry growth of 21%.

SHSE:603223 Past Earnings Growth June 7th 2024

Earnings growth is an important metric to consider when valuing a stock. The investor should try to establish if the expected growth or decline in earnings, whichever the case may be, is priced in. This then helps them determine if the stock is placed for a bright or bleak future. Is Hengtong Logistics fairly valued compared to other companies? These 3 valuation measures might help you decide.

Is Hengtong Logistics Efficiently Re-investing Its Profits?

Hengtong Logistics has a three-year median payout ratio of 31% (where it is retaining 69% of its income) which is not too low or not too high. By the looks of it, the dividend is well covered and Hengtong Logistics is reinvesting its profits efficiently as evidenced by its exceptional growth which we discussed above.

Besides, Hengtong Logistics has been paying dividends over a period of eight years. This shows that the company is committed to sharing profits with its shareholders.

Conclusion

On the whole, we do feel that Hengtong Logistics has some positive attributes. Even in spite of the low rate of return, the company has posted impressive earnings growth as a result of reinvesting heavily into its business. While we won't completely dismiss the company, what we would do, is try to ascertain how risky the business is to make a more informed decision around the company. Our risks dashboard would have the 2 risks we have identified for Hengtong Logistics.

Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.

Discover if Hengtong Logistics might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.