Stock Analysis

Shanghai Jin Jiang International Hotels (SHSE:600754 investor three-year losses grow to 55% as the stock sheds CN¥1.1b this past week

SHSE:600754
Source: Shutterstock

If you are building a properly diversified stock portfolio, the chances are some of your picks will perform badly. But long term Shanghai Jin Jiang International Hotels Co., Ltd. (SHSE:600754) shareholders have had a particularly rough ride in the last three year. So they might be feeling emotional about the 55% share price collapse, in that time. And over the last year the share price fell 43%, so we doubt many shareholders are delighted. More recently, the share price has dropped a further 9.3% in a month. But this could be related to poor market conditions -- stocks are down 4.4% in the same time.

With the stock having lost 3.5% in the past week, it's worth taking a look at business performance and seeing if there's any red flags.

View our latest analysis for Shanghai Jin Jiang International Hotels

While the efficient markets hypothesis continues to be taught by some, it has been proven that markets are over-reactive dynamic systems, and investors are not always rational. One imperfect but simple way to consider how the market perception of a company has shifted is to compare the change in the earnings per share (EPS) with the share price movement.

Shanghai Jin Jiang International Hotels became profitable within the last five years. We would usually expect to see the share price rise as a result. So given the share price is down it's worth checking some other metrics too.

The modest 1.8% dividend yield is unlikely to be guiding the market view of the stock. We note that, in three years, revenue has actually grown at a 12% annual rate, so that doesn't seem to be a reason to sell shares. This analysis is just perfunctory, but it might be worth researching Shanghai Jin Jiang International Hotels more closely, as sometimes stocks fall unfairly. This could present an opportunity.

The company's revenue and earnings (over time) are depicted in the image below (click to see the exact numbers).

earnings-and-revenue-growth
SHSE:600754 Earnings and Revenue Growth June 7th 2024

Shanghai Jin Jiang International Hotels is a well known stock, with plenty of analyst coverage, suggesting some visibility into future growth. Given we have quite a good number of analyst forecasts, it might be well worth checking out this free chart depicting consensus estimates.

A Different Perspective

We regret to report that Shanghai Jin Jiang International Hotels shareholders are down 43% for the year (even including dividends). Unfortunately, that's worse than the broader market decline of 10%. However, it could simply be that the share price has been impacted by broader market jitters. It might be worth keeping an eye on the fundamentals, in case there's a good opportunity. Longer term investors wouldn't be so upset, since they would have made 3%, each year, over five years. If the fundamental data continues to indicate long term sustainable growth, the current sell-off could be an opportunity worth considering. I find it very interesting to look at share price over the long term as a proxy for business performance. But to truly gain insight, we need to consider other information, too. For example, we've discovered 2 warning signs for Shanghai Jin Jiang International Hotels that you should be aware of before investing here.

Of course Shanghai Jin Jiang International Hotels may not be the best stock to buy. So you may wish to see this free collection of growth stocks.

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on Chinese exchanges.

New: Manage All Your Stock Portfolios in One Place

We've created the ultimate portfolio companion for stock investors, and it's free.

• Connect an unlimited number of Portfolios and see your total in one currency
• Be alerted to new Warning Signs or Risks via email or mobile
• Track the Fair Value of your stocks

Try a Demo Portfolio for Free

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.

This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.