Stock Analysis

Dividend Investors: Don't Be Too Quick To Buy Bafang Electric (Suzhou) Co.,Ltd. (SHSE:603489) For Its Upcoming Dividend

SHSE:603489
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Bafang Electric (Suzhou) Co.,Ltd. (SHSE:603489) stock is about to trade ex-dividend in 2 days. The ex-dividend date is usually set to be one business day before the record date which is the cut-off date on which you must be present on the company's books as a shareholder in order to receive the dividend. The ex-dividend date is of consequence because whenever a stock is bought or sold, the trade takes at least two business day to settle. In other words, investors can purchase Bafang Electric (Suzhou)Ltd's shares before the 8th of July in order to be eligible for the dividend, which will be paid on the 8th of July.

The company's next dividend payment will be CN¥1.00 per share. Last year, in total, the company distributed CN¥1.00 to shareholders. Based on the last year's worth of payments, Bafang Electric (Suzhou)Ltd has a trailing yield of 3.8% on the current stock price of CN¥25.99. If you buy this business for its dividend, you should have an idea of whether Bafang Electric (Suzhou)Ltd's dividend is reliable and sustainable. So we need to check whether the dividend payments are covered, and if earnings are growing.

View our latest analysis for Bafang Electric (Suzhou)Ltd

Dividends are typically paid out of company income, so if a company pays out more than it earned, its dividend is usually at a higher risk of being cut. Bafang Electric (Suzhou)Ltd distributed an unsustainably high 172% of its profit as dividends to shareholders last year. Without more sustainable payment behaviour, the dividend looks precarious. Yet cash flow is typically more important than profit for assessing dividend sustainability, so we should always check if the company generated enough cash to afford its dividend. Over the past year it paid out 162% of its free cash flow as dividends, which is uncomfortably high. We're curious about why the company paid out more cash than it generated last year, since this can be one of the early signs that a dividend may be unsustainable.

Bafang Electric (Suzhou)Ltd does have a large net cash position on the balance sheet, which could fund large dividends for a time, if the company so chose. Still, smart investors know that it is better to assess dividends relative to the cash and profit generated by the business. Paying dividends out of cash on the balance sheet is not long-term sustainable.

Cash is slightly more important than profit from a dividend perspective, but given Bafang Electric (Suzhou)Ltd's payouts were not well covered by either earnings or cash flow, we would be concerned about the sustainability of this dividend.

Click here to see the company's payout ratio, plus analyst estimates of its future dividends.

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SHSE:603489 Historic Dividend July 5th 2024

Have Earnings And Dividends Been Growing?

When earnings decline, dividend companies become much harder to analyse and own safely. If earnings decline and the company is forced to cut its dividend, investors could watch the value of their investment go up in smoke. Bafang Electric (Suzhou)Ltd's earnings per share have fallen at approximately 21% a year over the previous five years. When earnings per share fall, the maximum amount of dividends that can be paid also falls.

The main way most investors will assess a company's dividend prospects is by checking the historical rate of dividend growth. In the last four years, Bafang Electric (Suzhou)Ltd has lifted its dividend by approximately 8.8% a year on average. The only way to pay higher dividends when earnings are shrinking is either to pay out a larger percentage of profits, spend cash from the balance sheet, or borrow the money. Bafang Electric (Suzhou)Ltd is already paying out a high percentage of its income, so without earnings growth, we're doubtful of whether this dividend will grow much in the future.

Final Takeaway

Should investors buy Bafang Electric (Suzhou)Ltd for the upcoming dividend? It's looking like an unattractive opportunity, with its earnings per share declining, while, paying out an uncomfortably high percentage of both its profits (172%) and cash flow as dividends. Unless there are grounds to believe a turnaround is imminent, this is one of the least attractive dividend stocks under this analysis. Bottom line: Bafang Electric (Suzhou)Ltd has some unfortunate characteristics that we think could lead to sub-optimal outcomes for dividend investors.

Having said that, if you're looking at this stock without much concern for the dividend, you should still be familiar of the risks involved with Bafang Electric (Suzhou)Ltd. For example, Bafang Electric (Suzhou)Ltd has 2 warning signs (and 1 which is a bit unpleasant) we think you should know about.

If you're in the market for strong dividend payers, we recommend checking our selection of top dividend stocks.

Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.

Discover if Bafang Electric (Suzhou)Ltd might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.