Stock Analysis

Subdued Growth No Barrier To Guangzhou S.P.I Design Co., Ltd. (SZSE:300844) With Shares Advancing 37%

Published
SZSE:300844

Guangzhou S.P.I Design Co., Ltd. (SZSE:300844) shares have had a really impressive month, gaining 37% after a shaky period beforehand. The bad news is that even after the stocks recovery in the last 30 days, shareholders are still underwater by about 9.7% over the last year.

Since its price has surged higher, when almost half of the companies in China's Commercial Services industry have price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") below 2.7x, you may consider Guangzhou S.P.I Design as a stock not worth researching with its 6.2x P/S ratio. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the highly elevated P/S.

Check out our latest analysis for Guangzhou S.P.I Design

SZSE:300844 Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry October 10th 2024

What Does Guangzhou S.P.I Design's P/S Mean For Shareholders?

Guangzhou S.P.I Design has been doing a good job lately as it's been growing revenue at a solid pace. One possibility is that the P/S ratio is high because investors think this respectable revenue growth will be enough to outperform the broader industry in the near future. If not, then existing shareholders may be a little nervous about the viability of the share price.

Want the full picture on earnings, revenue and cash flow for the company? Then our free report on Guangzhou S.P.I Design will help you shine a light on its historical performance.

Is There Enough Revenue Growth Forecasted For Guangzhou S.P.I Design?

The only time you'd be truly comfortable seeing a P/S as steep as Guangzhou S.P.I Design's is when the company's growth is on track to outshine the industry decidedly.

Retrospectively, the last year delivered a decent 14% gain to the company's revenues. Still, lamentably revenue has fallen 34% in aggregate from three years ago, which is disappointing. Accordingly, shareholders would have felt downbeat about the medium-term rates of revenue growth.

Comparing that to the industry, which is predicted to deliver 28% growth in the next 12 months, the company's downward momentum based on recent medium-term revenue results is a sobering picture.

With this information, we find it concerning that Guangzhou S.P.I Design is trading at a P/S higher than the industry. It seems most investors are ignoring the recent poor growth rate and are hoping for a turnaround in the company's business prospects. There's a very good chance existing shareholders are setting themselves up for future disappointment if the P/S falls to levels more in line with the recent negative growth rates.

The Bottom Line On Guangzhou S.P.I Design's P/S

Shares in Guangzhou S.P.I Design have seen a strong upwards swing lately, which has really helped boost its P/S figure. We'd say the price-to-sales ratio's power isn't primarily as a valuation instrument but rather to gauge current investor sentiment and future expectations.

We've established that Guangzhou S.P.I Design currently trades on a much higher than expected P/S since its recent revenues have been in decline over the medium-term. With a revenue decline on investors' minds, the likelihood of a souring sentiment is quite high which could send the P/S back in line with what we'd expect. Unless the the circumstances surrounding the recent medium-term improve, it wouldn't be wrong to expect a a difficult period ahead for the company's shareholders.

Having said that, be aware Guangzhou S.P.I Design is showing 2 warning signs in our investment analysis, you should know about.

If companies with solid past earnings growth is up your alley, you may wish to see this free collection of other companies with strong earnings growth and low P/E ratios.

New: Manage All Your Stock Portfolios in One Place

We've created the ultimate portfolio companion for stock investors, and it's free.

• Connect an unlimited number of Portfolios and see your total in one currency
• Be alerted to new Warning Signs or Risks via email or mobile
• Track the Fair Value of your stocks

Try a Demo Portfolio for Free

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.

This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.