Stock Analysis

Can Mixed Fundamentals Have A Negative Impact on JiangSu JiuWu Hi-Tech Co., Ltd. (SZSE:300631) Current Share Price Momentum?

SZSE:300631
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JiangSu JiuWu Hi-Tech (SZSE:300631) has had a great run on the share market with its stock up by a significant 44% over the last three months. However, we decided to pay attention to the company's fundamentals which don't appear to give a clear sign about the company's financial health. In this article, we decided to focus on JiangSu JiuWu Hi-Tech's ROE.

ROE or return on equity is a useful tool to assess how effectively a company can generate returns on the investment it received from its shareholders. Put another way, it reveals the company's success at turning shareholder investments into profits.

Check out our latest analysis for JiangSu JiuWu Hi-Tech

How To Calculate Return On Equity?

ROE can be calculated by using the formula:

Return on Equity = Net Profit (from continuing operations) ÷ Shareholders' Equity

So, based on the above formula, the ROE for JiangSu JiuWu Hi-Tech is:

4.5% = CN¥54m ÷ CN¥1.2b (Based on the trailing twelve months to September 2024).

The 'return' is the amount earned after tax over the last twelve months. So, this means that for every CN¥1 of its shareholder's investments, the company generates a profit of CN¥0.04.

What Is The Relationship Between ROE And Earnings Growth?

Thus far, we have learned that ROE measures how efficiently a company is generating its profits. Depending on how much of these profits the company reinvests or "retains", and how effectively it does so, we are then able to assess a company’s earnings growth potential. Generally speaking, other things being equal, firms with a high return on equity and profit retention, have a higher growth rate than firms that don’t share these attributes.

A Side By Side comparison of JiangSu JiuWu Hi-Tech's Earnings Growth And 4.5% ROE

It is hard to argue that JiangSu JiuWu Hi-Tech's ROE is much good in and of itself. A comparison with the industry shows that the company's ROE is pretty similar to the average industry ROE of 5.1%. Given the circumstances, the significant decline in net income by 7.1% seen by JiangSu JiuWu Hi-Tech over the last five years is not surprising.

That being said, we compared JiangSu JiuWu Hi-Tech's performance with the industry and were concerned when we found that while the company has shrunk its earnings, the industry has grown its earnings at a rate of 1.6% in the same 5-year period.

past-earnings-growth
SZSE:300631 Past Earnings Growth November 18th 2024

The basis for attaching value to a company is, to a great extent, tied to its earnings growth. What investors need to determine next is if the expected earnings growth, or the lack of it, is already built into the share price. By doing so, they will have an idea if the stock is headed into clear blue waters or if swampy waters await. One good indicator of expected earnings growth is the P/E ratio which determines the price the market is willing to pay for a stock based on its earnings prospects. So, you may want to check if JiangSu JiuWu Hi-Tech is trading on a high P/E or a low P/E, relative to its industry.

Is JiangSu JiuWu Hi-Tech Making Efficient Use Of Its Profits?

Despite having a normal three-year median payout ratio of 25% (where it is retaining 75% of its profits), JiangSu JiuWu Hi-Tech has seen a decline in earnings as we saw above. It looks like there might be some other reasons to explain the lack in that respect. For example, the business could be in decline.

Additionally, JiangSu JiuWu Hi-Tech has paid dividends over a period of eight years, which means that the company's management is rather focused on keeping up its dividend payments, regardless of the shrinking earnings.

Summary

Overall, we have mixed feelings about JiangSu JiuWu Hi-Tech. Even though it appears to be retaining most of its profits, given the low ROE, investors may not be benefitting from all that reinvestment after all. The low earnings growth suggests our theory correct. That being so, the latest industry analyst forecasts show that the analysts are expecting to see a huge improvement in the company's earnings growth rate. Are these analysts expectations based on the broad expectations for the industry, or on the company's fundamentals? Click here to be taken to our analyst's forecasts page for the company.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.