Stock Analysis

Does The Market Have A Low Tolerance For HIT Welding Industry Co.,Ltd's (SZSE:301137) Mixed Fundamentals?

SZSE:301137
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With its stock down 10% over the past week, it is easy to disregard HIT Welding IndustryLtd (SZSE:301137). We, however decided to study the company's financials to determine if they have got anything to do with the price decline. Stock prices are usually driven by a company’s financial performance over the long term, and therefore we decided to pay more attention to the company's financial performance. Specifically, we decided to study HIT Welding IndustryLtd's ROE in this article.

Return on Equity or ROE is a test of how effectively a company is growing its value and managing investors’ money. In short, ROE shows the profit each dollar generates with respect to its shareholder investments.

See our latest analysis for HIT Welding IndustryLtd

How To Calculate Return On Equity?

The formula for return on equity is:

Return on Equity = Net Profit (from continuing operations) ÷ Shareholders' Equity

So, based on the above formula, the ROE for HIT Welding IndustryLtd is:

4.4% = CN¥59m ÷ CN¥1.3b (Based on the trailing twelve months to March 2024).

The 'return' is the amount earned after tax over the last twelve months. That means that for every CN¥1 worth of shareholders' equity, the company generated CN¥0.04 in profit.

What Has ROE Got To Do With Earnings Growth?

We have already established that ROE serves as an efficient profit-generating gauge for a company's future earnings. Based on how much of its profits the company chooses to reinvest or "retain", we are then able to evaluate a company's future ability to generate profits. Assuming everything else remains unchanged, the higher the ROE and profit retention, the higher the growth rate of a company compared to companies that don't necessarily bear these characteristics.

HIT Welding IndustryLtd's Earnings Growth And 4.4% ROE

As you can see, HIT Welding IndustryLtd's ROE looks pretty weak. Even when compared to the industry average of 6.8%, the ROE figure is pretty disappointing. For this reason, HIT Welding IndustryLtd's five year net income decline of 13% is not surprising given its lower ROE. We believe that there also might be other aspects that are negatively influencing the company's earnings prospects. For example, the business has allocated capital poorly, or that the company has a very high payout ratio.

That being said, we compared HIT Welding IndustryLtd's performance with the industry and were concerned when we found that while the company has shrunk its earnings, the industry has grown its earnings at a rate of 9.4% in the same 5-year period.

past-earnings-growth
SZSE:301137 Past Earnings Growth June 6th 2024

Earnings growth is a huge factor in stock valuation. The investor should try to establish if the expected growth or decline in earnings, whichever the case may be, is priced in. Doing so will help them establish if the stock's future looks promising or ominous. If you're wondering about HIT Welding IndustryLtd's's valuation, check out this gauge of its price-to-earnings ratio, as compared to its industry.

Is HIT Welding IndustryLtd Using Its Retained Earnings Effectively?

Looking at its three-year median payout ratio of 25% (or a retention ratio of 75%) which is pretty normal, HIT Welding IndustryLtd's declining earnings is rather baffling as one would expect to see a fair bit of growth when a company is retaining a good portion of its profits. So there might be other factors at play here which could potentially be hampering growth. For example, the business has faced some headwinds.

In addition, HIT Welding IndustryLtd only recently started paying a dividend so the management probably decided the shareholders prefer dividends even though earnings have been shrinking.

Summary

In total, we're a bit ambivalent about HIT Welding IndustryLtd's performance. Even though it appears to be retaining most of its profits, given the low ROE, investors may not be benefitting from all that reinvestment after all. The low earnings growth suggests our theory correct. Wrapping up, we would proceed with caution with this company and one way of doing that would be to look at the risk profile of the business. You can see the 3 risks we have identified for HIT Welding IndustryLtd by visiting our risks dashboard for free on our platform here.

Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.

Discover if HIT Welding IndustryLtd might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.