Stock Analysis
Suzhou Shijing Environmental TechnologyLtd (SZSE:301030) Use Of Debt Could Be Considered Risky
The external fund manager backed by Berkshire Hathaway's Charlie Munger, Li Lu, makes no bones about it when he says 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' So it might be obvious that you need to consider debt, when you think about how risky any given stock is, because too much debt can sink a company. We note that Suzhou Shijing Environmental Technology Co.,Ltd. (SZSE:301030) does have debt on its balance sheet. But is this debt a concern to shareholders?
What Risk Does Debt Bring?
Debt assists a business until the business has trouble paying it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. In the worst case scenario, a company can go bankrupt if it cannot pay its creditors. However, a more common (but still painful) scenario is that it has to raise new equity capital at a low price, thus permanently diluting shareholders. Having said that, the most common situation is where a company manages its debt reasonably well - and to its own advantage. The first step when considering a company's debt levels is to consider its cash and debt together.
View our latest analysis for Suzhou Shijing Environmental TechnologyLtd
What Is Suzhou Shijing Environmental TechnologyLtd's Debt?
The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that at September 2024 Suzhou Shijing Environmental TechnologyLtd had debt of CN¥3.27b, up from CN¥2.09b in one year. However, because it has a cash reserve of CN¥729.5m, its net debt is less, at about CN¥2.54b.
A Look At Suzhou Shijing Environmental TechnologyLtd's Liabilities
We can see from the most recent balance sheet that Suzhou Shijing Environmental TechnologyLtd had liabilities of CN¥5.46b falling due within a year, and liabilities of CN¥3.53b due beyond that. On the other hand, it had cash of CN¥729.5m and CN¥3.83b worth of receivables due within a year. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by CN¥4.43b.
When you consider that this deficiency exceeds the company's CN¥4.22b market capitalization, you might well be inclined to review the balance sheet intently. In the scenario where the company had to clean up its balance sheet quickly, it seems likely shareholders would suffer extensive dilution.
We measure a company's debt load relative to its earnings power by looking at its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and by calculating how easily its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) cover its interest expense (interest cover). The advantage of this approach is that we take into account both the absolute quantum of debt (with net debt to EBITDA) and the actual interest expenses associated with that debt (with its interest cover ratio).
Suzhou Shijing Environmental TechnologyLtd has a rather high debt to EBITDA ratio of 8.6 which suggests a meaningful debt load. However, its interest coverage of 3.4 is reasonably strong, which is a good sign. Given the debt load, it's hardly ideal that Suzhou Shijing Environmental TechnologyLtd's EBIT was pretty flat over the last twelve months. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But it is Suzhou Shijing Environmental TechnologyLtd's earnings that will influence how the balance sheet holds up in the future. So when considering debt, it's definitely worth looking at the earnings trend. Click here for an interactive snapshot.
But our final consideration is also important, because a company cannot pay debt with paper profits; it needs cold hard cash. So it's worth checking how much of that EBIT is backed by free cash flow. Over the last three years, Suzhou Shijing Environmental TechnologyLtd saw substantial negative free cash flow, in total. While that may be a result of expenditure for growth, it does make the debt far more risky.
Our View
On the face of it, Suzhou Shijing Environmental TechnologyLtd's net debt to EBITDA left us tentative about the stock, and its conversion of EBIT to free cash flow was no more enticing than the one empty restaurant on the busiest night of the year. But at least its EBIT growth rate is not so bad. We're quite clear that we consider Suzhou Shijing Environmental TechnologyLtd to be really rather risky, as a result of its balance sheet health. So we're almost as wary of this stock as a hungry kitten is about falling into its owner's fish pond: once bitten, twice shy, as they say. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. For instance, we've identified 4 warning signs for Suzhou Shijing Environmental TechnologyLtd (2 are concerning) you should be aware of.
When all is said and done, sometimes its easier to focus on companies that don't even need debt. Readers can access a list of growth stocks with zero net debt 100% free, right now.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About SZSE:301030
Suzhou Shijing Environmental TechnologyLtd
Suzhou Shijing Environmental Technology Co.,Ltd.