Stock Analysis
Pinning Down Kunshan TopA Intelligent Equipment Co.,Ltd's (SZSE:300836) P/S Is Difficult Right Now
Kunshan TopA Intelligent Equipment Co.,Ltd's (SZSE:300836) price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 5.9x may look like a poor investment opportunity when you consider close to half the companies in the Machinery industry in China have P/S ratios below 3.5x. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the highly elevated P/S.
See our latest analysis for Kunshan TopA Intelligent EquipmentLtd
What Does Kunshan TopA Intelligent EquipmentLtd's P/S Mean For Shareholders?
The revenue growth achieved at Kunshan TopA Intelligent EquipmentLtd over the last year would be more than acceptable for most companies. One possibility is that the P/S ratio is high because investors think this respectable revenue growth will be enough to outperform the broader industry in the near future. If not, then existing shareholders may be a little nervous about the viability of the share price.
We don't have analyst forecasts, but you can see how recent trends are setting up the company for the future by checking out our free report on Kunshan TopA Intelligent EquipmentLtd's earnings, revenue and cash flow.Is There Enough Revenue Growth Forecasted For Kunshan TopA Intelligent EquipmentLtd?
There's an inherent assumption that a company should far outperform the industry for P/S ratios like Kunshan TopA Intelligent EquipmentLtd's to be considered reasonable.
Taking a look back first, we see that the company managed to grow revenues by a handy 7.7% last year. The latest three year period has also seen an excellent 59% overall rise in revenue, aided somewhat by its short-term performance. Accordingly, shareholders would have definitely welcomed those medium-term rates of revenue growth.
This is in contrast to the rest of the industry, which is expected to grow by 23% over the next year, materially higher than the company's recent medium-term annualised growth rates.
With this information, we find it concerning that Kunshan TopA Intelligent EquipmentLtd is trading at a P/S higher than the industry. It seems most investors are ignoring the fairly limited recent growth rates and are hoping for a turnaround in the company's business prospects. There's a good chance existing shareholders are setting themselves up for future disappointment if the P/S falls to levels more in line with recent growth rates.
What Does Kunshan TopA Intelligent EquipmentLtd's P/S Mean For Investors?
We'd say the price-to-sales ratio's power isn't primarily as a valuation instrument but rather to gauge current investor sentiment and future expectations.
The fact that Kunshan TopA Intelligent EquipmentLtd currently trades on a higher P/S relative to the industry is an oddity, since its recent three-year growth is lower than the wider industry forecast. When we observe slower-than-industry revenue growth alongside a high P/S ratio, we assume there to be a significant risk of the share price decreasing, which would result in a lower P/S ratio. If recent medium-term revenue trends continue, it will place shareholders' investments at significant risk and potential investors in danger of paying an excessive premium.
And what about other risks? Every company has them, and we've spotted 3 warning signs for Kunshan TopA Intelligent EquipmentLtd (of which 1 shouldn't be ignored!) you should know about.
If companies with solid past earnings growth is up your alley, you may wish to see this free collection of other companies with strong earnings growth and low P/E ratios.
Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.
Discover if Kunshan TopA Intelligent EquipmentLtd might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About SZSE:300836
Kunshan TopA Intelligent EquipmentLtd
Engages in the research, development, production, and sale of intelligent equipment and digital factory system in China and internationally.