Stock Analysis

Guangdong Rifeng Electric Cable Co., Ltd.'s (SZSE:002953) Stock Has Seen Strong Momentum: Does That Call For Deeper Study Of Its Financial Prospects?

SZSE:002953
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Guangdong Rifeng Electric Cable (SZSE:002953) has had a great run on the share market with its stock up by a significant 20% over the last week. As most would know, fundamentals are what usually guide market price movements over the long-term, so we decided to look at the company's key financial indicators today to determine if they have any role to play in the recent price movement. In this article, we decided to focus on Guangdong Rifeng Electric Cable's ROE.

Return on equity or ROE is a key measure used to assess how efficiently a company's management is utilizing the company's capital. Put another way, it reveals the company's success at turning shareholder investments into profits.

See our latest analysis for Guangdong Rifeng Electric Cable

How Is ROE Calculated?

Return on equity can be calculated by using the formula:

Return on Equity = Net Profit (from continuing operations) Ă· Shareholders' Equity

So, based on the above formula, the ROE for Guangdong Rifeng Electric Cable is:

8.6% = CN„157m ÷ CN„1.8b (Based on the trailing twelve months to June 2024).

The 'return' is the profit over the last twelve months. That means that for every CN„1 worth of shareholders' equity, the company generated CN„0.09 in profit.

Why Is ROE Important For Earnings Growth?

We have already established that ROE serves as an efficient profit-generating gauge for a company's future earnings. Depending on how much of these profits the company reinvests or "retains", and how effectively it does so, we are then able to assess a company’s earnings growth potential. Generally speaking, other things being equal, firms with a high return on equity and profit retention, have a higher growth rate than firms that don’t share these attributes.

Guangdong Rifeng Electric Cable's Earnings Growth And 8.6% ROE

On the face of it, Guangdong Rifeng Electric Cable's ROE is not much to talk about. Although a closer study shows that the company's ROE is higher than the industry average of 6.9% which we definitely can't overlook. Yet, Guangdong Rifeng Electric Cable has posted measly growth of 3.0% over the past five years. Bear in mind, the company does have a low ROE. It is just that the industry ROE is lower. Therefore, the low growth in earnings could also be the result of this.

We then compared Guangdong Rifeng Electric Cable's net income growth with the industry and found that the company's growth figure is lower than the average industry growth rate of 12% in the same 5-year period, which is a bit concerning.

past-earnings-growth
SZSE:002953 Past Earnings Growth September 30th 2024

Earnings growth is an important metric to consider when valuing a stock. It’s important for an investor to know whether the market has priced in the company's expected earnings growth (or decline). This then helps them determine if the stock is placed for a bright or bleak future. One good indicator of expected earnings growth is the P/E ratio which determines the price the market is willing to pay for a stock based on its earnings prospects. So, you may want to check if Guangdong Rifeng Electric Cable is trading on a high P/E or a low P/E, relative to its industry.

Is Guangdong Rifeng Electric Cable Making Efficient Use Of Its Profits?

Guangdong Rifeng Electric Cable has a low three-year median payout ratio of 22% (meaning, the company keeps the remaining 78% of profits) which means that the company is retaining more of its earnings. This should be reflected in its earnings growth number, but that's not the case. So there could be some other explanation in that regard. For instance, the company's business may be deteriorating.

Additionally, Guangdong Rifeng Electric Cable has paid dividends over a period of five years, which means that the company's management is determined to pay dividends even if it means little to no earnings growth.

Summary

Overall, we feel that Guangdong Rifeng Electric Cable certainly does have some positive factors to consider. However, while the company does have a decent ROE and a high profit retention, its earnings growth number is quite disappointing. This suggests that there might be some external threat to the business, that's hampering growth. While we won't completely dismiss the company, what we would do, is try to ascertain how risky the business is to make a more informed decision around the company. You can see the 1 risk we have identified for Guangdong Rifeng Electric Cable by visiting our risks dashboard for free on our platform here.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.