Stock Analysis

Some Confidence Is Lacking In Shenzhen Hongtao Group Co.,Ltd. (SZSE:002325) As Shares Slide 26%

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SZSE:002325

Unfortunately for some shareholders, the Shenzhen Hongtao Group Co.,Ltd. (SZSE:002325) share price has dived 26% in the last thirty days, prolonging recent pain. Instead of being rewarded, shareholders who have already held through the last twelve months are now sitting on a 43% share price drop.

Even after such a large drop in price, when almost half of the companies in China's Construction industry have price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") below 1x, you may still consider Shenzhen Hongtao GroupLtd as a stock probably not worth researching with its 2.4x P/S ratio. However, the P/S might be high for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.

See our latest analysis for Shenzhen Hongtao GroupLtd

SZSE:002325 Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry June 3rd 2024

What Does Shenzhen Hongtao GroupLtd's Recent Performance Look Like?

For instance, Shenzhen Hongtao GroupLtd's receding revenue in recent times would have to be some food for thought. Perhaps the market believes the company can do enough to outperform the rest of the industry in the near future, which is keeping the P/S ratio high. You'd really hope so, otherwise you're paying a pretty hefty price for no particular reason.

We don't have analyst forecasts, but you can see how recent trends are setting up the company for the future by checking out our free report on Shenzhen Hongtao GroupLtd's earnings, revenue and cash flow.

How Is Shenzhen Hongtao GroupLtd's Revenue Growth Trending?

In order to justify its P/S ratio, Shenzhen Hongtao GroupLtd would need to produce impressive growth in excess of the industry.

Taking a look back first, the company's revenue growth last year wasn't something to get excited about as it posted a disappointing decline of 34%. As a result, revenue from three years ago have also fallen 79% overall. So unfortunately, we have to acknowledge that the company has not done a great job of growing revenue over that time.

Comparing that to the industry, which is predicted to deliver 15% growth in the next 12 months, the company's downward momentum based on recent medium-term revenue results is a sobering picture.

With this information, we find it concerning that Shenzhen Hongtao GroupLtd is trading at a P/S higher than the industry. It seems most investors are ignoring the recent poor growth rate and are hoping for a turnaround in the company's business prospects. There's a very good chance existing shareholders are setting themselves up for future disappointment if the P/S falls to levels more in line with the recent negative growth rates.

What We Can Learn From Shenzhen Hongtao GroupLtd's P/S?

Despite the recent share price weakness, Shenzhen Hongtao GroupLtd's P/S remains higher than most other companies in the industry. Using the price-to-sales ratio alone to determine if you should sell your stock isn't sensible, however it can be a practical guide to the company's future prospects.

Our examination of Shenzhen Hongtao GroupLtd revealed its shrinking revenue over the medium-term isn't resulting in a P/S as low as we expected, given the industry is set to grow. Right now we aren't comfortable with the high P/S as this revenue performance is highly unlikely to support such positive sentiment for long. If recent medium-term revenue trends continue, it will place shareholders' investments at significant risk and potential investors in danger of paying an excessive premium.

You always need to take note of risks, for example - Shenzhen Hongtao GroupLtd has 2 warning signs we think you should be aware of.

If strong companies turning a profit tickle your fancy, then you'll want to check out this free list of interesting companies that trade on a low P/E (but have proven they can grow earnings).

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.